Short-Term Forecasting (Record no. 150611)

000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02207nam a22003854a 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field WPIEA1092001
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field IMF
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20190405161636.0
006 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--ADDITIONAL MATERIAL CHARACTERISTICS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field m o d
007 - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION FIXED FIELD--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field cr cn|||||||||
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 020129s2001 dcu o i00 0 eng d
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 1451853211 :
Terms of availability 15.00 USD
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
Cancelled/invalid ISBN 9781451853216
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
International Standard Serial Number 1018-5941
024 7# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code 10.5089/9781451853216.001
Source of number or code doi
035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number (IMF)WPIEA1092001
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency DcWaIMF
Language of cataloging eng
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Iacoviello, Matteo.
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Short-Term Forecasting
Medium [electronic resource] :
Remainder of title Projecting Italian GDPone Quarter to Two Years Ahead /
Statement of responsibility, etc Matteo Iacoviello.
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc Washington, D.C. :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc International Monetary Fund,
Date of publication, distribution, etc 2001.
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 1 online resource (23 p.)
490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT
Series statement IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
Volume number/sequential designation No. 01/109
520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc This paper presents a "bridge model" for short-run (one or two quarters ahead) forecasting of Italian GDP, relying on industrial production and survey indicators as key variables that can help in providing a real-time first GDP estimate. For a one- to two-year horizon, it formulates and estimates a Bayesian VAR (BVAR) model of the Italian economy. Both the "bridge" and the BVAR model can be of great help in supplementing traditional judgmental or structural econometric forecasts. Given their simplicity and their good forecasting power, the framework may be usefully extended to other variables as well as to other countries
588 ## - SOURCE OF DESCRIPTION NOTE
Source of description note Description based on print version record.
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Bayesian Analysis
Source of heading or term imf
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Bayesian Vector Autoregressions
Source of heading or term imf
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Business Fluctuations
Source of heading or term imf
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Correlation
Source of heading or term imf
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Equation
Source of heading or term imf
650 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element GDP Growth
Source of heading or term imf
651 #7 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--GEOGRAPHIC NAME
Geographic name Italy
Source of heading or term imf
776 08 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY
Display text Print Version:
Main entry heading Iacoviello, Matteo.
Title Short-Term Forecasting : Projecting Italian GDPone Quarter to Two Years Ahead
Place, publisher, and date of publication Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2001.
International Standard Book Number 9781451853216
830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE
Uniform title IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
Volume number/sequential designation No. 01/109
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml">http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216/06208-9781451853216.xml</a>
Public note IMF e-Library
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://www.imfbookstore.org/IMFORG/9781451853216">http://www.imfbookstore.org/IMFORG/9781451853216</a>
Public note IMF Book Store

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