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001 WPIEA2007152
003 IMF
005 20190405170241.0
006 m o d
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008 020129s2007 dcu o i00 0 eng d
020 _a1451867166 :
_c18.00 USD
020 _z9781451867169
022 _a1018-5941
024 7 _a10.5089/9781451867169.001
_2doi
035 _a(IMF)WPIEA2007152
040 _aDcWaIMF
_beng
100 1 _aCerutti, Eugenio.
245 1 0 _aIMF Drawing Programs
_h[electronic resource] :
_bParticipation Determinants and Forecasting /
_cEugenio Cerutti.
260 _aWashington, D.C. :
_bInternational Monetary Fund,
_c2007.
300 _a1 online resource (27 p.)
490 1 _aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
_vNo. 07/152
520 3 _aThis paper studies the factors that have influenced countries' participation in IMF drawing programs. IMF drawing programs are defined as the period of a Stand-By Arrangement or an Extended Fund Facilities program during which a country borrows from the Fund. Since this definition excludes precautionary arrangements and periods during which the program went off-track, it provides a closer link to the factors that have influenced the evolution of IMF credit outstanding. The analysis uses quarterly data during the period 1982-2005 and focuses on developing, non-PRGF eligible countries. Country-specific variables-net international reserves and GDP growth-together with a global factor-world GDP growth-are found to be among the most significant determinants of countries' participation in IMF drawing programs. The importance of the global factor is not uniform during the period reviewed. The influence of world GDP growth seems to have been significant during the 1980s debt crises but not since the Mexican crisis in 1994. An out-of-sample forecast evaluation of the period 2004-5 reveals that the model has some predictive power.
588 _aDescription based on print version record.
650 7 _aCurrent Account
_2imf
650 7 _aForecasting
_2imf
650 7 _aIMF Credit Outstanding
_2imf
650 7 _aProbabilities
_2imf
650 7 _aProbability
_2imf
651 7 _aArgentina
_2imf
651 7 _aBrazil
_2imf
651 7 _aDominican Republic
_2imf
651 7 _aKorea, Republic of
_2imf
651 7 _aTurkey
_2imf
776 0 8 _iPrint Version:
_aCerutti, Eugenio.
_tIMF Drawing Programs : Participation Determinants and Forecasting
_dWashington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2007.
_z9781451867169
830 0 _aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
_vNo. 07/152
856 4 0 _uhttp://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/08545-9781451867169/08545-9781451867169/08545-9781451867169.xml
_zIMF e-Library
856 4 0 _uhttp://www.imfbookstore.org/IMFORG/9781451867169
_zIMF Book Store
999 _c153613
_d153613