000			02098nam a22003854a 4500
001			WPIEA0182003
003			IMF
005			20190405162559.0
006			m o d
007			cr cn|||||||||
008			020129s2003 dcu o i00 0 eng d
020			_a1451843666 : _c15.00 USD
020			_z9781451843668
022			_a1018-5941
024	7		_a10.5089/9781451843668.001 _2doi
035			_a(IMF)WPIEA0182003
040			_aDcWaIMF _beng
100	1		_aOka, Chikako.
245	1	0	_aAnticipating Arrears to the IMF Early Warning Systems _h[electronic resource] / _cChikako Oka.
260			_aWashington, D.C. : _bInternational Monetary Fund, _c2003.
300			_a1 online resource (35 p.)
490	1		_aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; _vNo. 03/18
520	3		_aThis paper attempts to predict the incidence of arrears to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) by modifying and applying two of the major early warning systems for currency crises: the "signals" approach proposed by Kaminsky, Lizondo, and Reinhart (1997) and the probit-based alternative developed by Berg and Pattillo (1998). The results, based on both in-sample and out-of-sample tests, appear encouraging. While the unique nature of IMF arrears poses some challenges, the models could be useful tools for identifying countries at high risk of incurring arrears to the IMF.
588			_aDescription based on print version record.
650		7	_aCurrency Crises _2imf
650		7	_aDebt Outstanding _2imf
650		7	_aDebt Service _2imf
650		7	_aEarly Warning _2imf
650		7	_aExternal Debt _2imf
650		7	_aInternational Lending and Debt Problems _2imf
651		7	_aZimbabwe _2imf
776	0	8	_iPrint Version: _aOka, Chikako. _tAnticipating Arrears to the IMF Early Warning Systems _dWashington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2003. _z9781451843668
830		0	_aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; _vNo. 03/18
856	4	0	_uhttp://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00343-9781451843668/00343-9781451843668/00343-9781451843668.xml _zIMF e-Library
856	4	0	_uhttp://www.imfbookstore.org/IMFORG/9781451843668 _zIMF Book Store
999			_c151217 _d151217