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020 _a1451848048 :
_c15.00 USD
020 _z9781451848045
022 _a1018-5941
024 7 _a10.5089/9781451848045.001
_2doi
035 _a(IMF)WPIEA0602000
040 _aDcWaIMF
_beng
100 1 _aSaxena, Sweta Chaman.
245 1 0 _aContagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia
_h[electronic resource] :
_bA Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis /
_cSweta Chaman Saxena.
260 _aWashington, D.C. :
_bInternational Monetary Fund,
_c2000.
300 _a1 online resource (26 p.)
490 1 _aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
_vNo. 00/60
520 3 _aThis paper investigates whether Indonesia's recent currency crisis was due to domestic fundamentals, common external shocks ("monsoons"), or contagion from neighboring countries. Markov-switching models attribute speculative pressure on Indonesia's currency to domestic political and financial factors and contagion from speculative pressures in Thailand and Korea. In particular, the results from a time-varying transition probability Markov-switching model (which overcomes some drawbacks of previous methods) show that inclusion of exchange rate pressures from Thailand and Korea in the transition probabilities improves the conditional probabilities of crisis in Indonesia. There is also evidence of contagion in the stock market.
588 _aDescription based on print version record.
650 7 _aAsian Crisis
_2imf
650 7 _aContagion
_2imf
650 7 _aCurrency Crisis
_2imf
650 7 _aEquation
_2imf
650 7 _aMarkov-Switching Models
_2imf
650 7 _aProbabilities
_2imf
651 7 _aIndonesia
_2imf
700 1 _aCerra, Valerie.
700 1 _aSaxena, Sweta Chaman.
776 0 8 _iPrint Version:
_aSaxena, Sweta Chaman.
_tContagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia : A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis
_dWashington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2000.
_z9781451848045
830 0 _aIMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
_vNo. 00/60
856 4 0 _uhttp://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/01354-9781451848045/01354-9781451848045/01354-9781451848045.xml
_zIMF e-Library
856 4 0 _uhttp://www.imfbookstore.org/IMFORG/9781451848045
_zIMF Book Store
999 _c149986
_d149986