000 06658nam a22004573i 4500
001 EBC1881858
003 MiAaPQ
005 20181121174655.0
006 m o d |
007 cr cnu||||||||
008 181113s2014 xx o ||||0 eng d
020 _a9781498319737
_q(electronic bk.)
035 _a(MiAaPQ)EBC1881858
035 _a(Au-PeEL)EBL1881858
035 _a(CaPaEBR)ebr10993987
035 _a(CaONFJC)MIL671665
035 _a(OCoLC)898102704
040 _aMiAaPQ
_beng
_erda
_epn
_cMiAaPQ
_dMiAaPQ
050 4 _aHG3881.5.I58 -- .I5842 2014eb
082 0 _a332.152
100 1 _aDept., International Monetary Fund. European.
245 1 0 _aUkraine :
_bFirst Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement, Requests for Waivers of Nonobservance and Applicability of Performance Criteria, and a Request for Rephasing of the Arrangement; staff Statement; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Direct...
264 1 _a :
_bInternational Monetary Fund,
_c2014.
264 4 _c©2014.
300 _a1 online resource (112 pages)
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
490 1 _aIMF Staff Country Reports ;
_vv.Country Report No. 14/263
505 0 _aCover -- CONTENTS -- CONTEXT -- RECENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS -- MACROECONOMIC FRAMEWORK AND RISKS -- MONETARY AND EXCHANGE RATE POLICY -- A. Recent Developments -- B. Policy Discussions -- FINANCIAL SECTOR POLICY -- A. Recent Financial Developments -- B. Policy Discussions -- FISCAL POLICY -- A. Recent Developments -- B. Policy Discussions -- ENERGY POLICY -- A. Recent Developments -- B. Policy Discussions -- GOVERNANCE AND TRANSPARENCY -- A. Background -- B. Policy Discussions -- PROGRAM FINANCING AND MODALITIES -- RISKS TO THE PROGRAM -- STAFF APPRAISAL -- BOXES -- 1. The Economic Impact of the Conflict in the East -- 2. Illustrative Adverse Scenario -- FIGURES -- 1. Real Sector Indicators, 2011-14 -- 2. Inflation, Monetary, and Exchange Rate Developments, 2011-14 -- 3. External Sector Developments, 2011-14 -- 4. Debt and Rollover of Debt, 2011-16 -- 5. Banking Sector Deposits and Credit, 2014 -- 6. Financial Sector Indicators, 2011-14 -- TABLES -- 1. Program Scenario - Selected Economic and Social Indicators, 2013-16 -- 2. Program Scenario - General Government Finances, 2014-16 -- 3. Program Scenario - Balance of Payments, 2013-16 -- 4. Program Scenario - Gross External Financing Requirements, 2013-16 -- 5. Program Scenario - Monetary Accounts, 2013-16 -- 6. Financial Soundness Indicators for the Banking Sector, 2009-14 -- 7. Indicators of Fund Credit, 2013-19 -- 8. Access and Phasing Under the Stand-By Arrangement -- ANNEX -- Public Debt Sustainability Analysis -- APPENDIX -- Letter of Intent -- ATTACHMENTS -- I. Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies -- II. Technical Memorandum of Understanding.
520 _aEXECUTIVE SUMMARYThe first review discussions took place in a context of heightened geopolitical tensions and deepening economic crisis. Intensification of the conflict in the East and escalation of the gas dispute with Gazprom, two of the key risks identified at the time of the program request, have materialized. These developments have affected confidence, balance of payment flows, economic activity, and budget execution. The banking sector has had to cope with larger-than-anticipated deposit outflows, and the exchange rate has depreciated more than expected at the time of the program request.The authorities have implemented policies broadly as agreed, but significant pressures have emerged. All but one performance criteria for end-May were met and all structural benchmarks have been implemented, albeit some with a delay. However, the deterioration in the economic outlook, fiscal and quasi-fiscal pressures, and heightened balance of payment difficulties are putting the initial program targets in jeopardy. Two end-July PCs are estimated to have been missed; and the end-2014 targets are out of reach. All continuous PCs were met.Discussions focused on the appropriate policy response to these short-term pressures and on reforms to support sustained growth. There was agreement that the policy effort should focus on compensatory measures to meet key program objectives, while allowing some temporary deviations from the initial targets. In particular, the NBU will limit the decline in reserves through market purchases; the government will take additional fiscal measures to keep public finances sustainable; and Naftogaz will strengthen current and past gas bills collection. Discussions also focused on reforms aimed at modernizing the monetary policy framework, preserving financial stability, addressing governance issues and improving the business
520 8 _aclimate.Nonetheless, risks loom large. The program hinges crucially on the assumption that the conflict will begin to subside in the coming months. Should active fighting continue well beyond that, the small buffers under the revised baseline would be quickly exhausted, requiring a new strategy, including additional external financing. A further heightening of geopolitical tensions could also have significant economic consequences. Domestically, policymaking may become more difficult in case of early elections. Strong policy performance and adherence to the planned reforms is therefore critical.Staff supports the authorities' request for completion of the first review and the waivers for nonobservance and applicability of performance criteria. The purchase released upon completion of the review would be in the amount of SDR 0.914 billion, ofwhich SDR 0.650 billion will be used to finance the budget deficit.
588 _aDescription based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.
590 _aElectronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2018. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.
650 0 _aFinancial crises -- Ukraine.
650 0 _aInternational Monetary Fund -- Ukraine.
655 4 _aElectronic books.
776 0 8 _iPrint version:
_aDept., International Monetary Fund. European
_tUkraine : First Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement, Requests for Waivers of Nonobservance and Applicability of Performance Criteria, and a Request for Rephasing of the Arrangement; staff Statement; Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Direct...
_d : International Monetary Fund,c2014
797 2 _aProQuest (Firm)
830 0 _aIMF Staff Country Reports
856 4 0 _uhttps://ebookcentral.proquest.com/lib/buse-ebooks/detail.action?docID=1881858
_zClick to View
999 _c127823
_d127823