Fat-Tails and their (Un)Happy Endings [electronic resource] : Correlation Bias and its Implications for Systemic Risk and Prudential Regulation.
Material type: TextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 11/82Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011Description: 1 online resource (21 p.)ISBN: 1455226068 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Basel III | Copula Capital Structure Model | Corporate Finance and Governance: Government Policy and Regulation | Correlation Bias | Probability | Prudential Regulation | Belgium | Canada | Japan | United Kingdom | United StatesAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Fat-Tails and their (Un)Happy Endings : Correlation Bias and its Implications for Systemic Risk and Prudential RegulationOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: The correlation bias refers to the fact that claim subordination in the capital structure of the firm influences claim holders' preferred degree of asset correlation in portfolios held by the firm. Using the copula capital structure model, it is shown that the correlation bias shifts shareholder preferences towards highly correlated assets, making financial institutions more prone to fail and increasing systemic risk given interconnectedness in the financial system. The implications for systemic risk and prudential regulation are assessed under the prism of Basel III, and potential solutions involving changes to the prudential framework and corporate governance are suggested.The correlation bias refers to the fact that claim subordination in the capital structure of the firm influences claim holders' preferred degree of asset correlation in portfolios held by the firm. Using the copula capital structure model, it is shown that the correlation bias shifts shareholder preferences towards highly correlated assets, making financial institutions more prone to fail and increasing systemic risk given interconnectedness in the financial system. The implications for systemic risk and prudential regulation are assessed under the prism of Basel III, and potential solutions involving changes to the prudential framework and corporate governance are suggested.
Description based on print version record.
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