TY - BOOK ED - World Bank. ED - World Bank. TI - Russian Economic Report, No. 24, March 2011: Sustaining Reforms under the Oil Windfall T2 - Economic Updates and Modeling PY - 2011/// CY - Washington, D.C. PB - The World Bank KW - Accounting KW - Agriculture KW - Airports KW - Asset Management KW - Business Environment KW - Capital Expenditures KW - Capital Flows KW - Capital Markets KW - Civil Service KW - Commodity Prices KW - Competitiveness and Competition Policy KW - Credit Default Swaps KW - Debt KW - Decision Making KW - Developed Countries KW - Developing Countries KW - Economic Forecasting KW - Economic Growth KW - Financial Services KW - Fiscal & Monetary Policy KW - Fiscal Policy KW - Fuel Taxes KW - Gdp KW - Global Economy KW - Gross Domestic Product KW - Inflation KW - Interest Rates KW - Investment Climate KW - Labor Costs KW - Labor Market KW - Macroeconomics and Economic Growth KW - Market Economy KW - Monetary Policy KW - Operating Costs KW - Private Sector Development KW - Privatization KW - Property Rights KW - Public Investment KW - Public Safety KW - Public Sector Development KW - Public Spending KW - Railways KW - Retirement KW - Risk Aversion KW - Roads KW - Tax Administration KW - Toll Roads KW - Transparency KW - Transport KW - Unemployment KW - Vehicles KW - Wages N2 - Despite the recent slowdown, the underlying growth of the global economy remains solid. After a 4 percent growth in 2010, Russia's real output is expected to grow 4.4 percent in 2011, increasingly driven by domestic demand. Russia's households have absorbed the food price shock thanks to a combination of higher wages and pensions, and resort to private and public safety nets. The country emerged from the global recession with lower unemployment and poverty than feared. But global risks and uncertainties increased with the new oil shock. Although the short-term impact will be positive for Russia's export and fiscal revenues, there is no room for complacency. Macroeconomic policy should focus on the short-term objective of controlling inflation and medium-term fiscal adjustment towards long-term, sustainable level of non-oil fiscal deficit. Improving the efficiency of public expenditure to create fiscal space for productive infrastructure and strengthening the investment climate for the private sector remain among key long-term challenges. The ongoing rethinking of the government's long-term strategy and a period of high oil revenues provide an opportunity to focus on these long-term issues more forcefully than during the global crisis UR - http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/27251 ER -