TY - BOOK AU - Brenton,Paul AU - Brenton,Paul AU - Newfarmer,Richard TI - Watching More Than the Discovery Channel: Export Cycles and Diversification in Development PY - 2007/// CY - Washington, D.C. PB - The World Bank KW - Barriers to entry KW - Debt Markets KW - Economic Theory and Research KW - Emerging Markets KW - Export market KW - Export markets KW - Finance and Financial Sector Development KW - Free Trade KW - International Economics & Trade KW - International Trade KW - Macroeconomics and Economic Growth KW - Market failure KW - Market failures KW - Market penetration KW - Market share KW - Markets and Market Access KW - Potential demand KW - Private Sector Development KW - Volatility N2 - This paper examines the export performance of 99 countries over 1995-2004 to understand the relative roles of export growth through "discovery" of new products and growth during post-discovery phases of the export product cycle - acceleration and maturation - in existing markets and expansion into new geographic markets. The authors find that expanding existing products in existing markets (growth at the intensive margin) has greater weight in export growth than diversification into new products and new geographic markets (growth at the extensive margin). Moreover, growth into new geographic markets appears to be more important than discovery of new export products in explaining export growth. Of particular importance is whether an exporting country succeeds in reaching more national markets that are already importing the product it makes. This geographic index of market penetration is a powerful explanatory variable of export performance. This suggests that governments should not focus solely or even primarily on the discovery channel, but also seek to identify and address market failures that are constraining exporters in subsequent phases of the export cycle UR - http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-4302 ER -