TY - BOOK AU - Cherif,Reda AU - Hasanov,Fuad TI - The Volatility Trap: Precautionary Saving, Investment, and Aggregate Risk T2 - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper SN - 1475503865 : SN - 1018-5941 PY - 2012/// CY - Washington, D.C. PB - International Monetary Fund KW - Buffer-Stock KW - imf KW - Correlation KW - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity: General KW - Growth KW - Investment Rate KW - Nonlinear Relationship KW - Bahrain KW - Bulgaria KW - Cameroon KW - Dominican Republic KW - Romania N2 - We study the effects of permanent and temporary income shocks on precautionary saving and investment in a "store-or-sow" model of growth. High volatility of permanent shocks results in high precautionary saving in the safe asset and low investment, or a "volatility trap." Namely, big savers invest relatively little. In contrast, low volatility of permanent shocks leads to low precautionary saving and high or low investment, depending on the volatility of temporary shocks. Empirical evidence shows a nonlinear relationship between investment and saving and that investment is a hump-shaped function of the volatility of permanent shocks, as predicted by the model UR - http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/12832-9781475503869/12832-9781475503869/12832-9781475503869.xml UR - http://www.imfbookstore.org/IMFORG/9781475503869 ER -