TY - BOOK AU - Calvo,Guillermo AU - VĂ©gh Gramont,Carlos A. TI - Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization under Imperfect Credibility T2 - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper SN - 1451849915 : SN - 1018-5941 PY - 1991/// CY - Washington, D.C. PB - International Monetary Fund KW - Exchange Rate KW - imf KW - Inflation Rate KW - Nominal Interest Rate KW - Real Exchange Rate KW - Argentina KW - Chile KW - Israel KW - Uruguay N2 - This paper analyzes stabilization policy under predetermined exchange rates in a cash-in-advance, staggered-prices model. Under full credibility, a reduction in the rate of devaluation results in an immediate and permanent reduction in the inflation rate, with no effect on output or consumption. In contrast, a non-credible stabilization results in an initial expansion of output, followed by a later recession. The inflation rate of home goods remains above the rate of devaluation throughout the program, thus resulting in a sustained real exchange rate appreciation UR - http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/02214-9781451849912/02214-9781451849912/02214-9781451849912.xml UR - http://www.imfbookstore.org/IMFORG/9781451849912 ER -