TY - BOOK AU - Calvo,Guillermo AU - VĂ©gh Gramont,Carlos A. TI - Credibility and the Dynamics of Stabilization Policy: A Basic Framework T2 - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper SN - 1451945582 : SN - 1018-5941 PY - 1990/// CY - Washington, D.C. PB - International Monetary Fund KW - Exchange Rate KW - imf KW - Exchange Rates KW - Inflation Rate KW - Inflation KW - Real Exchange Rate KW - Argentina N2 - This paper studies price stabilization policy under both predetermined and flexible exchange rates. Under predetermined exchange rates, a non-credible stabilization program results in an initial expansion of output, followed by a later recession. The initial expansion accompanies an appreciating real exchange rate. Under flexible exchange rates, the recession occurs at the beginning of the program. The real exchange rate appreciates sharply on impact but depreciates afterwards. Lack of credibility is more costly under predetermined exchange rates because the real effects are more pronounced UR - http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/01429-9781451945584/01429-9781451945584/01429-9781451945584.xml UR - http://www.imfbookstore.org/IMFORG/9781451945584 ER -