TY - BOOK AU - Tamirisa,Natalia T. AU - Igan,Deniz AU - Kabundi,Alain N. AU - Nadal De Simone,Francisco AU - Pinheiro,Marcelo AU - Tamirisa,Natalia T. TI - Three Cycles: Housing, Credit, and Real Activity T2 - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper SN - 1451873786 : SN - 1018-5941 PY - 2009/// CY - Washington, D.C. PB - International Monetary Fund KW - Business Cycle KW - imf KW - House Prices KW - Lead KW - Macro-Financial Linkages KW - Spillovers KW - Germany KW - Japan KW - Norway KW - Spain KW - United States N2 - We examine the characteristics and comovement of cycles in house prices, credit, real activity and interest rates in advanced economies during the past 25 years, using a dynamic generalized factor model. House price cycles generally lead credit and business cycles over the long term, while in the short to medium term the relationship varies across countries. Interest rates tend to lag other cycles at all time horizons. While global factors are important, the U.S. business cycle, house price cycle and interest rate cycle generally lead the respective cycles in other countries over all time horizons, while the U.S. credit cycle leads mainly over the long term UR - http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/10513-9781451873788/10513-9781451873788/10513-9781451873788.xml UR - http://www.imfbookstore.org/IMFORG/9781451873788 ER -