TY - BOOK AU - Dabós,Marcelo P. AU - Juan-Ramon,V.Hugo TI - Real Exchange Rate Response to Capital Flows in Mexico: An Empirical Analysis T2 - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper SN - 1451853092 : SN - 1018-5941 PY - 2000/// CY - Washington, D.C. PB - International Monetary Fund KW - Capital Inflow KW - imf KW - Capital Inflows KW - Equilibrium-Correction Model KW - Exchange Rate KW - Export Real Exchange Rate KW - Productivity KW - Mexico N2 - This study shows that in Mexico there is a long-run relationship between the real exchange rate and capital inflows, the external terms of trade, and productivity in the manufacturing sector. A once-and-for-all unit increase in the ratio of quarterly capital inflow to quarterly (annualized) GDP causes a long-run real appreciation of the peso of about 12 percent. The analysis also reveals a structural break in 1995, which coincides with the change to a floating exchange rate arrangement, and an overvaluation of the peso in real terms on the eve of the end-1994 crisis in the range of 12 to 25 percent UR - http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/05552-9781451853094/05552-9781451853094/05552-9781451853094.xml UR - http://www.imfbookstore.org/IMFORG/9781451853094 ER -