TY - BOOK ED - International Monetary Fund. TI - Leading Indicators of Banking Crises: Was Asia Different? T2 - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper SN - 1451951744 : SN - 1018-5941 PY - 1998/// CY - Washington, D.C. PB - International Monetary Fund KW - Banking Crises KW - imf KW - Banking Sector KW - Banking System Distress KW - Banking System KW - Banking KW - Leading Indicators KW - East Asia KW - Indonesia KW - Korea, Republic of KW - Mexico KW - Philippines KW - Thailand N2 - This paper examines episodes of the banking system distress and crisis in a large sample of countries. The empirical results identify several macroeconomic and financial variables as useful leading indicators. The main macroeconomic indicators were of limited value in predicting the Asian crises; the best warning signs were proxies for the vulnerability of the banking and corporate sector. Full-blown banking crises are shown to be more associated with external developments, and domestic variables are the main leading indicators of severe but contained banking distress UR - http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/04236-9781451951745/04236-9781451951745/04236-9781451951745.xml UR - http://www.imfbookstore.org/IMFORG/9781451951745 ER -