TY - BOOK AU - Milesi-Ferretti,Gian AU - Razin,Assaf TI - Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises: Empirical Regularities T2 - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper SN - 1451952422 : SN - 1018-5941 PY - 1998/// CY - Washington, D.C. PB - International Monetary Fund KW - Currency Crises KW - imf KW - Currency Crisis KW - Current Account Balance KW - Current Account Deficits KW - Current Account Reversal KW - Current Account Reversals KW - Central African Republic KW - Comoros KW - Congo, Democratic Republic of the KW - Guinea KW - Mexico N2 - This paper studies large reductions in current account deficits and exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency crisis, and how these events affect macroeconomic performance. Both domestic factors, such as the low reserves, and external factors, such as unfavorable terms of trade, are found to trigger reversals and currency crises. The two types of events are, however, distinct; an exchange rate crash is associated with a fall in output growth and a recovery thereafter, while for reversals there is no systematic evidence of a growth slowdown UR - http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/01493-9781451952421/01493-9781451952421/01493-9781451952421.xml UR - http://www.imfbookstore.org/IMFORG/9781451952421 ER -