TY - BOOK AU - Thornton,John AU - GarcĂ­a-Herrero,Alicia AU - Thornton,John TI - Additional Evidenceon Ems Interest Rate Linkages T2 - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper SN - 145194294X : SN - 1018-5941 PY - 1996/// CY - Washington, D.C. PB - International Monetary Fund KW - Cointegration KW - imf KW - Equation KW - Granger Causality KW - Interest Rates KW - Statistics KW - Germany N2 - This note examines interest rate linkages within the EMS. Cointegration tests suggest the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between German and other EMS interest rates. Bivariate VAR analysis finds that Granger-causality either stems from German to other European interest rates (Belgium, France, Spain, and the U.K.) or is bidirectional (Denmark and the Netherlands). When allowance is made for the influence of U.S. interest rates, the pattern of Granger causality is predominantly bidirectional UR - http://elibrary.imf.org/view/IMF001/00140-9781451942941/00140-9781451942941/00140-9781451942941.xml UR - http://www.imfbookstore.org/IMFORG/9781451942941 ER -