TY - BOOK AU - Dollar,David AU - Dollar,David TI - Asian Century Or Multi-Polar Century ? PY - 2007/// CY - Washington, D.C. PB - The World Bank KW - Currencies and Exchange Rates KW - Debt Markets KW - Demographic KW - Developing Countries KW - Developing Economies KW - Economic Performance KW - Economic Performances KW - Economic Theory and Research KW - Emerging Markets KW - Energy KW - Energy Production and Transportation KW - Exchange KW - Finance and Financial Sector Development KW - Financial Literacy KW - Foreign Trade KW - Future KW - Future Prospects KW - Globalization KW - Growth Rate KW - Health, Nutrition and Population KW - Human Capital KW - International Economics & Trade KW - Investment KW - Investment Climate KW - Investment Climates KW - Labor Policies KW - Macroeconomics and Economic Growth KW - Natural Resource KW - Natural Resources KW - Population Policies KW - Poverty Reduction KW - Power Parity KW - Private Sector Development KW - Pro-Poor Growth KW - Purchasing Power KW - Rapid Growth KW - Social Protections and Labor KW - Trade and Regional Integration N2 - The "rise of Asia" is something of a myth. During 1990-2005 China accounted for 28 percent of global growth, measured at purchasing power parity (PPP). India accounted for 9 percent. The rest of developing Asia, with nearly a billion people, accounted for only 7 percent, the same as Latin America. Hence there is no general success of Asian developing economies. China has grown better than its developing neighbors because it started its reform with a better base of human capital, has been more open to foreign trade and investment, and created good investment climates in coastal cities. China's success changes the equation going forward: its wages are now two to three times higher than in the populous Asian countries (Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Vietnam), and China will become an ever-larger importer of natural resource and labor-intensive products. Developing countries need to become more open and improve their investment climates to benefit from these opportunities. China itself faces new challenges that could hamper its further development: unsustainable trade imbalance with the United States, energy and water scarcity and unsustainable use of natural resources, and growing inequality and social tension. To address the first two of these challenges, good cooperation between China and the United States is essential. The author concludes that we are more likely to be facing a "multi-polar century," than an Asian century UR - http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-4174 ER -