Cover -- Preface -- Figures -- Tables -- Summary -- Acknowledgments -- Acronyms -- Chapter One - Introductions -- Objective -- Definition and Scope -- Descriptive Versus Prescriptive Research -- Approach in This Monograph -- Chapter Two - Human Decisionmaking -- How to Think About Decisionmaking -- Images of the Decision Process -- The Problems of Heuristics and Biases -- Availability Heuristic -- Representativeness Heuristic -- Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic -- Memory Biases -- Adjustment Biases -- Presentation Biases -- The Naturalistic School -- Military and National-Security OperationalDecisionmaking -- Chapter Three - Classic Analysis Concepts and Their Evolution -- Decision Analysis and Game Theory -- Decision Analysis and Utilities -- Game Theory -- Systems Analysis -- History and Early References -- Defining Characteristics -- Discussion -- Modern Examples -- Policy Analysis -- History and Early References -- Defining Characteristics -- Discussion -- Modern Examples -- Summary of Classic Analysis Components of DecisionScience -- Chapter Four - Advanced Decision Science for Analysis -- Introduction -- Structure of This Chapter -- Understanding the System -- The Problem of Deep Uncertainty -- Interaction and Iteration -- A Revised Process Model in the Theory of Decision Support -- Broad Methods -- Increasing Creativity and Imaginativeness in Planning -- Enriching System Modeling -- Planning for Adaptiveness -- Organizing Around Command and Control and Related Networking -- Enablers -- Multiresolution Modeling and Families of Models -- Agent-Based Modeling -- Modular Composable Systems -- Decision-Support Technology -- Chapter Five - the Research Frontier: Reconciling Analytic and Intuitive Considerations -- Introduction -- Comparing Decisionmaking Paradigms -- The Value of Synthesis -- Elements of Synthesis.

Improving Automated Decision Support -- Challenges -- Concrete Suggestions for Design of Decision Support -- Balancing Cold and Story-Based Decision Support -- Decision Characteristics -- Decision-Environment Characteristics -- Decisionmaker Characteristics -- General Recommendations -- Chapter Six - Conclusions -- The Decisionmaking Component -- The Analysis Component -- Appendix A - Debiasing an Air Campaign -- Appendix B - Rethinking Families of Models -- Appendix C - Further Discussion of Judgmental Bias and DSS -- Bibliography.

An overview of higher-level decisionmaking and modern methods to improve decision support.

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Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2018. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.