Does Premature Deindustrialization Matter? [electronic resource] : The Role of Manufacturing versus Services in Development / Nayyar, Gaurav.
Material type: TextPublication details: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank, 2018Description: 1 online resource (28 p.)Subject(s): Business Cycles and Stabilization Policies | Common Carriers Industry | Construction Industry | De Facto Governments | Deindustrialization | Democratic Government | Food & Beverage Industry | General Manufacturing | Industry | Innovation | International Trade and Trade Rules | Labor Productivity | Macroeconomics and Economic Growth | Manufacturing | Plastics & Rubber Industry | Pulp & Paper Industry | Services Sector | Textiles Apparel & Leather Industry | Trade & Services | TransportAdditional physical formats: Nayyar, Gaurav.: Does Premature Deindustrialization Matter? The Role of Manufacturing versus Services in DevelopmentOnline resources: Click here to access online Abstract: The shares of manufacturing in value added and employment across a range of developing economies peaked at lower levels of per capita income compared with their high-income, early-industrializer precursors. Based on the statistical analysis of input-output tables and firm-level data, the paper contributes to the discussion on whether this "premature deindustrialization" matters by showing that: a) the premature declining share of the manufacturing sector is largely not driven by a statistical artifice whereby what was earlier subsumed in manufacturing value added is now accounted for as service sector contributions; b) Some features of manufacturing that were thought of as uniquely special for development, such as scale economies, exports, and innovation, are increasingly shared by services sector firms. Yet, a given service subsector is unlikely to provide opportunities for productivity growth and job creation for unskilled labor simultaneously; c) Some high-productivity services serve final demand or derive demand from several sectors, while others are more closely linked to a manufacturing base.The shares of manufacturing in value added and employment across a range of developing economies peaked at lower levels of per capita income compared with their high-income, early-industrializer precursors. Based on the statistical analysis of input-output tables and firm-level data, the paper contributes to the discussion on whether this "premature deindustrialization" matters by showing that: a) the premature declining share of the manufacturing sector is largely not driven by a statistical artifice whereby what was earlier subsumed in manufacturing value added is now accounted for as service sector contributions; b) Some features of manufacturing that were thought of as uniquely special for development, such as scale economies, exports, and innovation, are increasingly shared by services sector firms. Yet, a given service subsector is unlikely to provide opportunities for productivity growth and job creation for unskilled labor simultaneously; c) Some high-productivity services serve final demand or derive demand from several sectors, while others are more closely linked to a manufacturing base.
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