Leaning Against the Wind [electronic resource] : Fiscal Policy in Latin America and the Caribbean in a Historical Perspective. / Carlos Vegh.

By: Vegh, CarlosContributor(s): Bennett, Federico R | Lederman, Daniel | Vegh, CarlosMaterial type: TextTextSeries: Latin America and Caribbean Semiannual Report | World Bank e-LibraryPublication details: Washington, D.C. : The World Bank, 2017Subject(s): Business Cycles and Stabilization Policies | Currencies and Exchange Rates | Economic Conditions and Volatility | Finance and Financial Sector Development | Financial Crisis Management & Restructuring | Fiscal & Monetary Policy | Fiscal Policy | Inequality | Macroeconomics and Economic Growth | Slowdown | UnemploymentOnline resources: Click here to access online Abstract: This report by the Office of the Chief Economist for Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) of the World Bank studies the region's fiscal policies. After reviewing LAC's growth performance, Chapter 1 provides an accounting of its financing needs during the 21st Century to understand how such a diverse region ended up with fiscal deficits across the board in 2016. Chapter 2 goes back to the 1960s and assesses the cyclical properties of fiscal policies. LAC, like most developing countries and in contrast with most developed economies, exhibited procyclical fiscal policies. Good news arrived in the 2000s: one in three economies became countercyclical, which helped improve credit ratings. Yet fiscal policy is complicated by our inability to know if current economic conditions are temporary or permanent. The report argues for a prudent stance that would err on the side of saving too much during upswings and perhaps borrowing too little during downturns.
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This report by the Office of the Chief Economist for Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) of the World Bank studies the region's fiscal policies. After reviewing LAC's growth performance, Chapter 1 provides an accounting of its financing needs during the 21st Century to understand how such a diverse region ended up with fiscal deficits across the board in 2016. Chapter 2 goes back to the 1960s and assesses the cyclical properties of fiscal policies. LAC, like most developing countries and in contrast with most developed economies, exhibited procyclical fiscal policies. Good news arrived in the 2000s: one in three economies became countercyclical, which helped improve credit ratings. Yet fiscal policy is complicated by our inability to know if current economic conditions are temporary or permanent. The report argues for a prudent stance that would err on the side of saving too much during upswings and perhaps borrowing too little during downturns.

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