Policies and Prospects in Japan and the Implications for the Asia-Pacific Region [electronic resource] / Tim Callen.

By: Callen, TimContributor(s): McKibbin, Warwick JMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 01/131Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2001Description: 1 online resource (57 p.)ISBN: 1451855281 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Equity Prices | Fiscal Consolidation | Government Bonds | Government Expenditure | International Factor Movements and International Business: General | Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and | JapanAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Policies and Prospects in Japan and the Implications for the Asia-Pacific RegionOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: This paper uses the G-Cubed (Asia-Pacific) model-a macroeconomic model with rich cross-country links-to explore the implications for Japan and Asia of several shocks to the Japanese economy. The results suggest that, while fiscal consolidation in Japan would initially dampen domestic growth, over the medium term the impact on both the domestic and regional economies would be positive. Quantitative monetary easing in Japan would boost domestic activity in the short-run, while being basically neutral for the region. Finally, a loss of confidence in the yen would be negative for Japan, but positive for the region because of a reallocation of capital flows toward non-Japan Asia.
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This paper uses the G-Cubed (Asia-Pacific) model-a macroeconomic model with rich cross-country links-to explore the implications for Japan and Asia of several shocks to the Japanese economy. The results suggest that, while fiscal consolidation in Japan would initially dampen domestic growth, over the medium term the impact on both the domestic and regional economies would be positive. Quantitative monetary easing in Japan would boost domestic activity in the short-run, while being basically neutral for the region. Finally, a loss of confidence in the yen would be negative for Japan, but positive for the region because of a reallocation of capital flows toward non-Japan Asia.

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