Inflation Dynamics in the CEMAC Region [electronic resource] / Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro.
Material type: TextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 11/232Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011Description: 1 online resource (29 p.)ISBN: 1463921969 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Business Fluctuations | CEMAC Region | Inflation Dynamics | Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance | Macroeconomic Policy | Monetary Fund | Cameroon | Congo, Democratic Republic of theAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Inflation Dynamics in the CEMAC RegionOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: This paper analyses inflation dynamics in the Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) using a constructed dataset for country-specific commodity price indices and panel cointegrated vector autoregressive (VAR) models. Imported commodity price shocks are significant in explaining inflation in the region. Governments are another driving force of inflation dynamics mainly through controlled prices and the role of capital expenditure in domestic activity. In most CEMAC countries, the largest effect of global food and fuel prices occurs after four or five quarters in noncore inflation and then decays substantially over time. Second-round effects are significant only in Cameroon and to a lesser extent in the Republic of Congo.This paper analyses inflation dynamics in the Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) using a constructed dataset for country-specific commodity price indices and panel cointegrated vector autoregressive (VAR) models. Imported commodity price shocks are significant in explaining inflation in the region. Governments are another driving force of inflation dynamics mainly through controlled prices and the role of capital expenditure in domestic activity. In most CEMAC countries, the largest effect of global food and fuel prices occurs after four or five quarters in noncore inflation and then decays substantially over time. Second-round effects are significant only in Cameroon and to a lesser extent in the Republic of Congo.
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