Index Number Biases During Price Liberalization [electronic resource] / Kent Osband.
Material type: TextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 91/76Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1991Description: 1 online resource (33 p.)ISBN: 145184977X :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Black Market | Inflation Rate | Inflation Rates | Inflation | Money Supply | PolandAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Index Number Biases During Price LiberalizationOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: When a formerly centrally-planned economy frees prices and allows or compels producers to respond to market signals, conventional measures tend to severely overstate short-run output decline and inflation. In part the overstatement stems from neglect of private sector activity, or from belated recognition of inflation previously disguised as quality improvements. Even when individual prices and outputs are correctly measured, however, shifts in relative prices consequent to price decontrol create a serious aggregation problem. Moreover, the standard indices ignore the deflationary trends in black markets. Superior growth and inflation indices are devised using a combination of official and black market prices.When a formerly centrally-planned economy frees prices and allows or compels producers to respond to market signals, conventional measures tend to severely overstate short-run output decline and inflation. In part the overstatement stems from neglect of private sector activity, or from belated recognition of inflation previously disguised as quality improvements. Even when individual prices and outputs are correctly measured, however, shifts in relative prices consequent to price decontrol create a serious aggregation problem. Moreover, the standard indices ignore the deflationary trends in black markets. Superior growth and inflation indices are devised using a combination of official and black market prices.
Description based on print version record.
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