Economic Fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa [electronic resource] / Giovanni Melina.

By: Melina, GiovanniContributor(s): Portillo, RafaelMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 18/40Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2019Description: 1 online resource (32 p.)ISBN: 148434488X :Subject(s): Business Fluctuations | Comparative Studies Of Countries | Macroeconomic Analyses Of Economic Development | Middle East | Open Economy MacroeconomicsAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Economic Fluctuations in Sub-Saharan AfricaOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: We compare business cycle fluctuations in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries vis-a-vis the rest of the world. Our main results are as follows: (i) African economies stand out by their macroeconomic volatility, which is is reflected in the volatility of output and other macro variables; (ii) inflation and output tend to be negatively correlated; (iii) unlike advanced economies and emerging markets (EMs), trade balances and current accounts are acyclical in SSA; (iv) the volatility of consumption and investment relative to GDP is larger than in other countries; (v) the cyclicality of consumption and investment is smaller than in advanced economies and EMs; (vi) there is little comovement between consumption and investment; (vii) consumption and investment are strongly positively correlated with imports.
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We compare business cycle fluctuations in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries vis-a-vis the rest of the world. Our main results are as follows: (i) African economies stand out by their macroeconomic volatility, which is is reflected in the volatility of output and other macro variables; (ii) inflation and output tend to be negatively correlated; (iii) unlike advanced economies and emerging markets (EMs), trade balances and current accounts are acyclical in SSA; (iv) the volatility of consumption and investment relative to GDP is larger than in other countries; (v) the cyclicality of consumption and investment is smaller than in advanced economies and EMs; (vi) there is little comovement between consumption and investment; (vii) consumption and investment are strongly positively correlated with imports.

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