Value of WTO Trade Agreements in a New Keynesian Model [electronic resource] / Giovanni Ganelli.

By: Ganelli, GiovanniContributor(s): Tervala, JuhaMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 15/37Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2015Description: 1 online resource (35 p.)ISBN: 1498372678 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Consumption | General | Open Economy Macroeconomics | Tariff | Terms of Trade Theory | Trade | United StatesAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Value of WTO Trade Agreements in a New Keynesian ModelOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: We revisit the question of the quantitative benefits of WTO trade agreements in a setup that is non-standard from the traditional trade policy point of view. We show that in a New Keynesian model, unilateral trade liberalization reduces welfare due to terms-of-trade deterioration, creating an incentive for a trade agreement. For realistic parameter values, the value of an agreement, which cuts tariffs by one percentage point, is 0.5% to 2% of consumption, much larger than in trade models. The intuition for this result hinges on some New Keynesian features of our framework, such as imperfect competition and endogenous labor supply.
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We revisit the question of the quantitative benefits of WTO trade agreements in a setup that is non-standard from the traditional trade policy point of view. We show that in a New Keynesian model, unilateral trade liberalization reduces welfare due to terms-of-trade deterioration, creating an incentive for a trade agreement. For realistic parameter values, the value of an agreement, which cuts tariffs by one percentage point, is 0.5% to 2% of consumption, much larger than in trade models. The intuition for this result hinges on some New Keynesian features of our framework, such as imperfect competition and endogenous labor supply.

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