Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis [electronic resource] : Estimating Market-Implied Systemic Risk / Andreas A Jobst.

By: Jobst, Andreas AContributor(s): Gray, Dale F | Jobst, Andreas AMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 13/54Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013Description: 1 online resource (93 p.)ISBN: 1475572786 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Conditional Tail Expectation (CTE) | Contingent Claims Analysis (CCA) | Extreme Value Theory (EVT) | Government Policy and Regulation | Macroprudential Policy and Surveillance | Stress Testing | United Kingdom | United StatesAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Systemic Contingent Claims Analysis : Estimating Market-Implied Systemic RiskOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: The recent global financial crisis has forced a re-examination of risk transmission in the financial sector and how it affects financial stability. Current macroprudential policy and surveillance (MPS) efforts are aimed establishing a regulatory framework that helps mitigate the risk from systemic linkages with a view towards enhancing the resilience of the financial sector. This paper presents a forward-looking framework ("Systemic CCA") to measure systemic solvency risk based on market-implied expected losses of financial institutions with practical applications for the financial sector risk management and the system-wide capital assessment in top-down stress testing. The suggested approach uses advanced contingent claims analysis (CCA) to generate aggregate estimates of the joint default risk of multiple institutions as a conditional tail expectation using multivariate extreme value theory (EVT). In addition, the framework also helps quantify the individual contributions to systemic risk and contingent liabilities of the financial sector during times of stress.
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The recent global financial crisis has forced a re-examination of risk transmission in the financial sector and how it affects financial stability. Current macroprudential policy and surveillance (MPS) efforts are aimed establishing a regulatory framework that helps mitigate the risk from systemic linkages with a view towards enhancing the resilience of the financial sector. This paper presents a forward-looking framework ("Systemic CCA") to measure systemic solvency risk based on market-implied expected losses of financial institutions with practical applications for the financial sector risk management and the system-wide capital assessment in top-down stress testing. The suggested approach uses advanced contingent claims analysis (CCA) to generate aggregate estimates of the joint default risk of multiple institutions as a conditional tail expectation using multivariate extreme value theory (EVT). In addition, the framework also helps quantify the individual contributions to systemic risk and contingent liabilities of the financial sector during times of stress.

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