What Drives Credit Growth in Emerging Asia? [electronic resource] / Fei Han.
Material type: TextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 12/43Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2012Description: 1 online resource (43 p.)ISBN: 1463936443 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Aggregate Demand | Bayesian Estimation | Domestic Monetary Policy | Econometric Modeling: General | Emerging Asia | Financial Stability | China, People's Republic of | Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of China | Indonesia | United StatesAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: What Drives Credit Growth in Emerging Asia?Online resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: This paper seeks to uncover the main drivers of credit growth in emerging Asia using a multi-country structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model. Taking a novel approach, we developed a two-block SVAR whereby shocks within blocks are identified using sign restrictions, whereas shocks across the blocks are identified using a recursive (block-) Cholesky structure. We find that domestic factors are more dominant than external factors in driving rapid credit growth in emerging Asia. This is particularly true for domestic monetary policy, which can play a pivotal role in terms of managing rapid credit growth in emerging Asia.This paper seeks to uncover the main drivers of credit growth in emerging Asia using a multi-country structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model. Taking a novel approach, we developed a two-block SVAR whereby shocks within blocks are identified using sign restrictions, whereas shocks across the blocks are identified using a recursive (block-) Cholesky structure. We find that domestic factors are more dominant than external factors in driving rapid credit growth in emerging Asia. This is particularly true for domestic monetary policy, which can play a pivotal role in terms of managing rapid credit growth in emerging Asia.
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