Modeling Optimal Fiscal Consolidation Paths in a Selection of European Countries [electronic resource] / Daniel Kanda.

By: Kanda, DanielMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 11/164Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011Description: 1 online resource (23 p.)ISBN: 1462302203 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Fiscal Consolidation | Fiscal Multiplier | Fiscal Sustainability | Public Debt | Germany | Ireland | Italy | Netherlands | U.KAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Modeling Optimal Fiscal Consolidation Paths in a Selection of European CountriesOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: For a number of countries - Italy, Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Germany, Ireland, and France - this paper develops an inter-temporal model that elicits the implied country-preferences over balancing the conflicting objectives of fiscal consolidation and reduction of economic slack. The model suggests that some front-loading of adjustment is desirable, although the extent would vary by country preferences. It also finds that proposed consolidations may prove to be stronger than acceptable, especially if somewhat larger than anticipated fiscal multipliers lead to a sizeable economic deceleration.
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For a number of countries - Italy, Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Germany, Ireland, and France - this paper develops an inter-temporal model that elicits the implied country-preferences over balancing the conflicting objectives of fiscal consolidation and reduction of economic slack. The model suggests that some front-loading of adjustment is desirable, although the extent would vary by country preferences. It also finds that proposed consolidations may prove to be stronger than acceptable, especially if somewhat larger than anticipated fiscal multipliers lead to a sizeable economic deceleration.

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