Risk Sharing and Financial Contagion in Asia [electronic resource] : An Asset Price Perspective / Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul.

By: Rungcharoenkitkul, PhurichaiMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 11/242Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011Description: 1 online resource (41 p.)ISBN: 1463922639 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Affine Term Structure Model | Bond | Contagion | Financial Aspects of Economic Integration | Financial Contagion | Risk Sharing | China, People's Republic of | Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of ChinaAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Risk Sharing and Financial Contagion in Asia : An Asset Price PerspectiveOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: This paper assesses financial integration in Asia in terms of risk-sharing benefit versus financial-contagion cost. We construct a new measure of risk sharing based on a term structure model, which allows identification of realized stochastic discount factors. Risk sharing is low in Asia, and varies across time and countries, whereas contagion risks are more significant intra-regionally, and relatively stable over the past decade. An overall tradeoff exists between risk sharing and contagion, but the terms of tradeoffs vary across countries, depending on relative economic fluctuations and inflation differentials. Asia, therefore, can potentially enhance risk sharing without raising contagion risk.
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This paper assesses financial integration in Asia in terms of risk-sharing benefit versus financial-contagion cost. We construct a new measure of risk sharing based on a term structure model, which allows identification of realized stochastic discount factors. Risk sharing is low in Asia, and varies across time and countries, whereas contagion risks are more significant intra-regionally, and relatively stable over the past decade. An overall tradeoff exists between risk sharing and contagion, but the terms of tradeoffs vary across countries, depending on relative economic fluctuations and inflation differentials. Asia, therefore, can potentially enhance risk sharing without raising contagion risk.

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