Caribbean Bananas [electronic resource] : The Macroeconomic Impact of Trade Preference Erosion / Paul Cashin.
Material type: TextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 10/59Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010Description: 1 online resource (42 p.)ISBN: 1451963793 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Country and Industry Studies of Trade | Exporters | Preference Erosion | Preferential Trade Arrangements | Saint Lucia | Saint Vincent and the GrenadinesAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Caribbean Bananas : The Macroeconomic Impact of Trade Preference ErosionOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: This paper examines the macroeconomic effects of the erosion of trade preferences, with a focus on the export of Caribbean bananas to Europe. Estimates are made of the magnitude of implicit assistance provided over a period of three decades to eastern Caribbean countries through banana trade preferences. The value of such assistance rose until the early 1990s, and has declined precipitously since then. Using vector autoregressive analysis, the paper finds that changes in the level of implicit assistance have had a considerable macroeconomic impact, especially on Caribbean real GDP growth.This paper examines the macroeconomic effects of the erosion of trade preferences, with a focus on the export of Caribbean bananas to Europe. Estimates are made of the magnitude of implicit assistance provided over a period of three decades to eastern Caribbean countries through banana trade preferences. The value of such assistance rose until the early 1990s, and has declined precipitously since then. Using vector autoregressive analysis, the paper finds that changes in the level of implicit assistance have had a considerable macroeconomic impact, especially on Caribbean real GDP growth.
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