Slowdown of Credit Flows in Jordan in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis [electronic resource] : Supply or Demand Driven? / Tigran Poghosyan.

By: Poghosyan, TigranMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 10/256Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010Description: 1 online resource (15 p.)ISBN: 1455209562 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Credit Crunch | Equation | Financial Institutions and Services: Government Policy and Regulation | Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy | Monetary Fund | Monetary Policy | JordanAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Slowdown of Credit Flows in Jordan in the Wake of the Global Financial Crisis : Supply or Demand Driven?Online resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: This paper estimates a disequilibrium model of credit supply and demand to evaluate the relative role of these factors in the slowdown of credit flows in the Jordanian economy in the wake of the global financial crisis. The empirical analysis suggests that the credit stagnation is mainly driven by the restricted credit supply amid tighter monetary policy conditions in Jordan relative to the United States, as evidenced by the widened interest differential between the Central Bank of Jordan (CBJ) re-discount and the U.S. Federal Reserve funds rates. Although it appears that demand side factors related to the slowdown of economic activity have also had an impact, their role has been relatively modest. The estimation results imply that economic policies targeted towards stimulating supply of credit are likely to be a more effective tool for expanding credit flows relative to demand stimulating policies.
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This paper estimates a disequilibrium model of credit supply and demand to evaluate the relative role of these factors in the slowdown of credit flows in the Jordanian economy in the wake of the global financial crisis. The empirical analysis suggests that the credit stagnation is mainly driven by the restricted credit supply amid tighter monetary policy conditions in Jordan relative to the United States, as evidenced by the widened interest differential between the Central Bank of Jordan (CBJ) re-discount and the U.S. Federal Reserve funds rates. Although it appears that demand side factors related to the slowdown of economic activity have also had an impact, their role has been relatively modest. The estimation results imply that economic policies targeted towards stimulating supply of credit are likely to be a more effective tool for expanding credit flows relative to demand stimulating policies.

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