An Anatomy of Credit Booms [electronic resource] : Evidence From Macro Aggregates and Micro Data / Marco Terrones.

By: Terrones, MarcoContributor(s): Mendoza, Enrique G | Terrones, MarcoMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 08/226Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2008Description: 1 online resource (50 p.)ISBN: 1451870841 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Capital Inflows | Credit Boom | Financial Indicators | Financial Reforms | ChileAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: An Anatomy of Credit Booms : Evidence From Macro Aggregates and Micro DataOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: We study the characteristics of credit booms in emerging and industrial economies. Macro data show a systematic relationship between credit booms and economic expansions, rising asset prices, real appreciations and widening external deficits. Micro data show a strong association between credit booms and leverage ratios, firm values, and banking fragility. We also find that credit booms are larger in emerging economies, particularly in the nontradables sector; most emerging markets crises are associated with credit booms; and credit booms in emerging economies are often preceded by large capital inflows but not by financial reforms or productivity gains.
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We study the characteristics of credit booms in emerging and industrial economies. Macro data show a systematic relationship between credit booms and economic expansions, rising asset prices, real appreciations and widening external deficits. Micro data show a strong association between credit booms and leverage ratios, firm values, and banking fragility. We also find that credit booms are larger in emerging economies, particularly in the nontradables sector; most emerging markets crises are associated with credit booms; and credit booms in emerging economies are often preceded by large capital inflows but not by financial reforms or productivity gains.

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