Convergence in Emerging Europe [electronic resource] : Sustainability and Vulnerabilities / Athanasios Vamvakidis.

By: Vamvakidis, AthanasiosMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 08/181Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2008Description: 1 online resource (30 p.)ISBN: 1451870396 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Current Account Adjustment | Current Account Deficits | Current Account | European Economy | Real GDP | BulgariaAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Convergence in Emerging Europe : Sustainability and VulnerabilitiesOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: The emerging European economies have been converging rapidly towards the more advanced European economies in recent years. However, large external imbalances in parts of the region have raised questions about sustainability and concerns about vulnerabilities. Empirical evidence in this paper suggest that the convergence trend of emerging Europe is based on strong fundamentals and is expected to continue, but at a slower pace. Moreover, the convergence path may be volatile as countries with large external imbalances adjust, with risks of a hard landing in some cases.
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The emerging European economies have been converging rapidly towards the more advanced European economies in recent years. However, large external imbalances in parts of the region have raised questions about sustainability and concerns about vulnerabilities. Empirical evidence in this paper suggest that the convergence trend of emerging Europe is based on strong fundamentals and is expected to continue, but at a slower pace. Moreover, the convergence path may be volatile as countries with large external imbalances adjust, with risks of a hard landing in some cases.

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