An Estimated DSGE Model for Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income Countries [electronic resource] / Shanaka J Peiris.

By: Peiris, Shanaka JContributor(s): Saxegaard, MagnusMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 07/282Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2007Description: 1 online resource (31 p.)ISBN: 1451868456 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Bayesian Estimation | DSGE | Inflation | Monetary Fund | Monetary Policy Rules | MozambiqueAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: An Estimated DSGE Model for Monetary Policy Analysis in Low-Income CountriesOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: This paper evaluates monetary policy-tradeoffs in low-income countries using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model estimated on data for Mozambique taking into account the sources of major exogenous shocks, and level of financial development. To our knowledge this is a first attempt at estimating a DSGE model for Sub-Saharan Africa excluding South Africa. Our simulations suggests that a exchange rate peg is significantly less successful than inflation targeting at stabilizing the real economy due to higher interest rate volatility, as in the literature for industrial countries and emerging markets.
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This paper evaluates monetary policy-tradeoffs in low-income countries using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model estimated on data for Mozambique taking into account the sources of major exogenous shocks, and level of financial development. To our knowledge this is a first attempt at estimating a DSGE model for Sub-Saharan Africa excluding South Africa. Our simulations suggests that a exchange rate peg is significantly less successful than inflation targeting at stabilizing the real economy due to higher interest rate volatility, as in the literature for industrial countries and emerging markets.

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