Seasonalities in China's Stock Markets [electronic resource] : Cultural or Structural? / Jason D Mitchell.
Material type: TextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 06/4Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2006Description: 1 online resource (46 p.)ISBN: 1451862644 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): A-Shares | B-Shares | Chinese Lunar New Year | Day-of-the-Week Effect | Half-Month Effect | Half-Year Effect | China, People's Republic ofAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Seasonalities in China's Stock Markets : Cultural or Structural?Online resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: In this paper, we examine returns in the Chinese A and B stock markets for evidence of calendar anomalies. We find that both cultural and structural (segmentation) factors play an important role in influencing the pricing of both A- and B-shares in China. There is some evidence of a February turn-of-the-year effect, partly owing to the timing of the Chinese Lunar New Year (CNY); and the holiday effect around the CNY period is stronger and more persistent compared with the other public holidays. The segmentation between the two markets is apparent in the day-of-the-week effect, where B stock markets tend to post significant negative returns on Tuesdays, corresponding with overnight developments in the United States, while significant negative returns are observed on Mondays in the A stock markets. Investment strategies based on some of these calendar anomalies, and allowing for transaction costs, suggest that the A stock markets tend to offer more economically significant returns.In this paper, we examine returns in the Chinese A and B stock markets for evidence of calendar anomalies. We find that both cultural and structural (segmentation) factors play an important role in influencing the pricing of both A- and B-shares in China. There is some evidence of a February turn-of-the-year effect, partly owing to the timing of the Chinese Lunar New Year (CNY); and the holiday effect around the CNY period is stronger and more persistent compared with the other public holidays. The segmentation between the two markets is apparent in the day-of-the-week effect, where B stock markets tend to post significant negative returns on Tuesdays, corresponding with overnight developments in the United States, while significant negative returns are observed on Mondays in the A stock markets. Investment strategies based on some of these calendar anomalies, and allowing for transaction costs, suggest that the A stock markets tend to offer more economically significant returns.
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