Trade Liberalization, Macroeconomic Adjustment, and Welfare [electronic resource] : Unifying Trade and Macro Models / Ehsan U Choudhri.
Material type: TextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 06/304Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2006Description: 1 online resource (26 p.)ISBN: 1451865643 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Exchange Rate | Exchange Rates | Fixed Exchange Rates | Flexible Exchange Rates | Macroeconomic Adjustment | Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies | Canada | United StatesAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Trade Liberalization, Macroeconomic Adjustment, and Welfare : Unifying Trade and Macro ModelsOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: Trade liberalization leads to long-run gains, but it can also involve costly short-run macroeconomic adjustment. The paper explores the relative importance of these effects within a dynamic general equilibrium model that captures key elements of both international trade and macroeconomic models. The welfare effect of trade liberalization is decomposed into a steady-state efficiency gain and a transitional loss associated with wage-price stickiness. Our estimates show that the transitional loss is small relative to the steady-state gain, and tends to be lower under flexible as compared to fixed exchange rates. We also show that the loss can be reduced further by a flexible price-level targeting policy rule.Trade liberalization leads to long-run gains, but it can also involve costly short-run macroeconomic adjustment. The paper explores the relative importance of these effects within a dynamic general equilibrium model that captures key elements of both international trade and macroeconomic models. The welfare effect of trade liberalization is decomposed into a steady-state efficiency gain and a transitional loss associated with wage-price stickiness. Our estimates show that the transitional loss is small relative to the steady-state gain, and tends to be lower under flexible as compared to fixed exchange rates. We also show that the loss can be reduced further by a flexible price-level targeting policy rule.
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