Volatility and Comovement in a Globalized World Economy [electronic resource] : An Empirical Exploration / Ayhan Kose.

By: Kose, AyhanContributor(s): Prasad, Eswar | Terrones, MarcoMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 03/246Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2003Description: 1 online resource (38 p.)ISBN: 1451875878 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Business Cycle | Correlations | Globalization Period | Growth Rates | International Factor Movements and International Business | International Policy Coordination and Transmission | Germany | Japan | United StatesAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Volatility and Comovement in a Globalized World Economy : An Empirical ExplorationOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: This paper analyzes the evolution of volatility and cross-country comovement in output, consumption, and investment fluctuations using two distinct datasets. The results suggest that there has been a significant decline in the volatility of business cycle fluctuations and a slight increase in the degree of cyclical comovement among industrialized countries over time. However, for emerging market economies, financial globalization appears to have been associated, on average, with an increase in macroeconomic volatility as well as declines in the degree of comovement of output and consumption growth with their corresponding world aggregates.
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This paper analyzes the evolution of volatility and cross-country comovement in output, consumption, and investment fluctuations using two distinct datasets. The results suggest that there has been a significant decline in the volatility of business cycle fluctuations and a slight increase in the degree of cyclical comovement among industrialized countries over time. However, for emerging market economies, financial globalization appears to have been associated, on average, with an increase in macroeconomic volatility as well as declines in the degree of comovement of output and consumption growth with their corresponding world aggregates.

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