An Unbiased Appraisal of Purchasing Power Parity [electronic resource] / C. John McDermott.
Material type: TextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 01/196Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2001Description: 1 online resource (35 p.)ISBN: 1451859961 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Confidence Interval | Confidence Intervals | Exchange Rate | Exchange Rates | Median-Unbiased Estimation | Real Exchange Rates | Canada | Iceland | New Zealand | United Kingdom | United StatesAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: An Unbiased Appraisal of Purchasing Power ParityOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: Univariate studies of the hypothesis of unit roots in real exchange rates have yielded consensus point estimates of the half-life of deviations from purchasing power parity of between three to five years. However, least squares-based estimates of half-lives are biased downward. Accordingly, we follow Andrews (1993) and use median-unbiased estimators of the half-life of deviations from parity as a preferred measure of the persistence of real exchange rate shocks. We study this issue using real effective exchange rate (REER) data for 22 industrial countries in the post-Bretton Woods period. Three methods of bias correction are implemented, which yield cross-country averages of half-lives of deviations from parity ranging between 4 to 15 years, with the REER of several countries displaying permanent deviations from parity.Univariate studies of the hypothesis of unit roots in real exchange rates have yielded consensus point estimates of the half-life of deviations from purchasing power parity of between three to five years. However, least squares-based estimates of half-lives are biased downward. Accordingly, we follow Andrews (1993) and use median-unbiased estimators of the half-life of deviations from parity as a preferred measure of the persistence of real exchange rate shocks. We study this issue using real effective exchange rate (REER) data for 22 industrial countries in the post-Bretton Woods period. Three methods of bias correction are implemented, which yield cross-country averages of half-lives of deviations from parity ranging between 4 to 15 years, with the REER of several countries displaying permanent deviations from parity.
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