Bank Rating Changes and Bank Stock Returns-Puzzling Evidence from the Emerging Markets [electronic resource] / Anthony J Richards.

By: Richards, Anthony JContributor(s): Deddouche, David | Richards, Anthony JMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 99/151Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1999Description: 1 online resource (28 p.)ISBN: 1451857012 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Bank Stock Prices | Bank Stocks | Bond | Event Study | Rating Changes | Stock Market | Egypt | Mexico | Thailand | Turkey | United StatesAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Bank Rating Changes and Bank Stock Returns-Puzzling Evidence from the Emerging MarketsOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: This paper examines the performance of emerging market bank stocks around the time of rating changes by major international agencies. The data suggest that downgrades on average have followed periods of negative cumulative abnormal returns for banks, although upgrades have not followed periods of positive returns. More important, stock prices either do not respond to rating changes or respond in the opposite direction to what would be expected if announcements conveyed value-relevant information. The paper concludes that there are limits to the extent that supervisors in emerging markets can rely on market participants to monitor the safety and soundness of banks.
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This paper examines the performance of emerging market bank stocks around the time of rating changes by major international agencies. The data suggest that downgrades on average have followed periods of negative cumulative abnormal returns for banks, although upgrades have not followed periods of positive returns. More important, stock prices either do not respond to rating changes or respond in the opposite direction to what would be expected if announcements conveyed value-relevant information. The paper concludes that there are limits to the extent that supervisors in emerging markets can rely on market participants to monitor the safety and soundness of banks.

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