Measuring Misalignment [electronic resource] : Purchasing Power Parity and East Asian Currencies in the 1990s / Menzie David Chinn.

By: Chinn, Menzie DavidMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 99/120Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1999Description: 1 online resource (29 p.)ISBN: 1451854250 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Cointegration | Exchange Rate | Exchange Rates | Overvaluation | Purchasing Power Parity | Real Exchange Rate | Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of China | Indonesia | Philippines | Singapore | ThailandAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Measuring Misalignment : Purchasing Power Parity and East Asian Currencies in the 1990sOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: The concept of purchasing power parity (PPP) is used to evaluate whether eight East Asian currencies were overvalued on the eve of the 1997 crises. The Johansen and Horvath-Watson cointegration test procedures are applied to bilateral and multilateral exchange rates, deflated using CPIs, producer price indices (PPIs), and price indices of export goods. The second deflator yields the greatest evidence of "stationarity." The study find's that the Malaysian, Philippines, and Thai currencies were overvalued, while the Korean and Indonesian were substantially undervalued. Mixed results were obtained for the others. Measures of the equilibrium rate based on time trends in CPI-deflated rates typically suggest larger overvaluations.
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The concept of purchasing power parity (PPP) is used to evaluate whether eight East Asian currencies were overvalued on the eve of the 1997 crises. The Johansen and Horvath-Watson cointegration test procedures are applied to bilateral and multilateral exchange rates, deflated using CPIs, producer price indices (PPIs), and price indices of export goods. The second deflator yields the greatest evidence of "stationarity." The study find's that the Malaysian, Philippines, and Thai currencies were overvalued, while the Korean and Indonesian were substantially undervalued. Mixed results were obtained for the others. Measures of the equilibrium rate based on time trends in CPI-deflated rates typically suggest larger overvaluations.

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