The Effects of Forward-Versus Backward-Looking Wage Indexationon Price Stabilization Programs [electronic resource] / Joe Crowley.

By: Crowley, JoeMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 97/38Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1997Description: 1 online resource (34 p.)ISBN: 1451845650 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Inflation | Real Wages | Wage Indexation | Wage | Wages | ColombiaAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: The Effects of Forward-Versus Backward-Looking Wage Indexationon Price Stabilization ProgramsOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: A standard open-economy model is used to show that price stabilization programs are more likely to succeed if labor contracts specify forward-looking wage indexation. Compared with contracts specifying backward-looking wage indexation or wages based on static expectations, such contracts will result in a greater reduction in inflation with lower output costs, smaller misalignment of real wages, smaller outflows of reserves, smaller disruptions caused by policy announcements, and a reduced impact of some shocks during price stabilization programs. These results are generally true whether or not capital is mobile and whether or not expectations are rational.
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A standard open-economy model is used to show that price stabilization programs are more likely to succeed if labor contracts specify forward-looking wage indexation. Compared with contracts specifying backward-looking wage indexation or wages based on static expectations, such contracts will result in a greater reduction in inflation with lower output costs, smaller misalignment of real wages, smaller outflows of reserves, smaller disruptions caused by policy announcements, and a reduced impact of some shocks during price stabilization programs. These results are generally true whether or not capital is mobile and whether or not expectations are rational.

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