The Peace Dividend [electronic resource] : Military Spending Cuts and Economic Growth / Malcolm D Knight.

By: Knight, Malcolm DContributor(s): Loayza, Norman | Villanueva, DelanoMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 95/53Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1995Description: 1 online resource (40 p.)ISBN: 1451847335 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Military Expenditure | Military Expenditures | Military Spending | Military | Bulgaria | Central African Republic | Congo, Democratic Republic of the | Germany | JapanAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: The Peace Dividend : Military Spending Cuts and Economic GrowthOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: Although conventional wisdom suggests that reducing military spending may improve a country's economic growth performance, empirical studies have produced ambiguous results. This paper extends a standard growth model and estimates it using techniques that exploit both cross-section and time-series dimensions of available data to obtain consistent estimates of the growth-retarding effects of military spending via its adverse impact on capital formation and resource allocation. Model simulations suggest that a substantial long-run "Peace Dividend"--in the form of higher capacity output--may result from: (i) markedly lower military expenditure levels achieved in most regions during the late 1980s; and (ii) further military spending cuts that would be possible in the future if a global peace could be secured.
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Although conventional wisdom suggests that reducing military spending may improve a country's economic growth performance, empirical studies have produced ambiguous results. This paper extends a standard growth model and estimates it using techniques that exploit both cross-section and time-series dimensions of available data to obtain consistent estimates of the growth-retarding effects of military spending via its adverse impact on capital formation and resource allocation. Model simulations suggest that a substantial long-run "Peace Dividend"--in the form of higher capacity output--may result from: (i) markedly lower military expenditure levels achieved in most regions during the late 1980s; and (ii) further military spending cuts that would be possible in the future if a global peace could be secured.

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