Asset Prices and Time-Varying Risk [electronic resource]

By: International Monetary FundMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 88/42Publication details: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1988Description: 1 online resource (26 p.)ISBN: 1451975430 :ISSN: 1018-5941Subject(s): Covariance | Equation | Fiscal Reform | Government Spending | Time Series | United KingdomAdditional physical formats: Print Version:: Asset Prices and Time-Varying RiskOnline resources: IMF e-Library | IMF Book Store Abstract: Observers have often characterized asset markets as being subject to periods of tranquility and periods of turbulence. Until recently, however, researchers were unable to produce closed-form asset pricing formulas in a model environment of time-varying risk. Some work by Abel provided us with the insights needed to produce such formulas. This paper gives a exposition of how to develop the formulas in an environment where the formulas may by obtained using a simple extension of standard tools. While the paper is intended mainly as an exposition of new work, it also contains a report on the asset market effect of fiscal reform. It is found that entering a period of weak coordination between government spending and taxing (tax rate) policy is good for stock prices.
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Observers have often characterized asset markets as being subject to periods of tranquility and periods of turbulence. Until recently, however, researchers were unable to produce closed-form asset pricing formulas in a model environment of time-varying risk. Some work by Abel provided us with the insights needed to produce such formulas. This paper gives a exposition of how to develop the formulas in an environment where the formulas may by obtained using a simple extension of standard tools. While the paper is intended mainly as an exposition of new work, it also contains a report on the asset market effect of fiscal reform. It is found that entering a period of weak coordination between government spending and taxing (tax rate) policy is good for stock prices.

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