Rapid Current Account Adjustments : Are Microstates Different?.

By: Imam, Patrick AMaterial type: TextTextSeries: IMF Working PapersPublisher: Washington : International Monetary Fund, 2008Copyright date: ©2008Description: 1 online resource (30 pages)Content type: text Media type: computer Carrier type: online resourceISBN: 9781451915440Subject(s): Balance of payments -- Econometric models | Foreign exchange rates -- Econometric models | States, Small -- Economic conditions -- Econometric models | Structural adjustment (Economic policy) -- Econometric modelsGenre/Form: Electronic books.Additional physical formats: Print version:: Rapid Current Account Adjustments : Are Microstates Different?DDC classification: 330.9 LOC classification: HC59.3 -- .I436 2008ebOnline resources: Click to View
Contents:
Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Evolution of the Current Account of Microstates, 1980-2005 -- III. Unique Aspects of the Current Account of Microstates -- IV. "Old" Versus "New" View of the Current Account -- V. Rapid Current Account Adjustment -- VI. Conclusions and Policy Implications -- VII. References -- Appendix 1: Stylized Facts on The Current Account After Persistent Terms of Trade Shocks -- Identifying Persistent Negative Terms of Trade Shocks -- Current Account After Terms of Trade Changes.
Summary: We describe unique aspects of microstates-they are less diversified, suffer from lumpiness of investment, they are geographically at the periphery and prone to natural disasters, and have less access to capital markets-that may make the current account more vulnerable, penalizing exports and making imports dearer. After reviewing the "old" and "new" view on current account deficits, we attempt to identify policies to help reduce the current account. Probit regressions suggest that microstates are more likely to have large current account adjustments if (i) they are already running large current account deficits; (ii) they run budget surpluses; (iii) the terms of trade improve; (iv) they are less open; and (v) GDP growth declines. Monetary policy, financial development, per capita GDP, and the de jure exchange rate classification matter less. However, changes in the real effective exchange rate do not help drive reductions in the current account deficit in microstates. We explore reasons for this and provide policy implications.
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Intro -- Contents -- I. Introduction -- II. Evolution of the Current Account of Microstates, 1980-2005 -- III. Unique Aspects of the Current Account of Microstates -- IV. "Old" Versus "New" View of the Current Account -- V. Rapid Current Account Adjustment -- VI. Conclusions and Policy Implications -- VII. References -- Appendix 1: Stylized Facts on The Current Account After Persistent Terms of Trade Shocks -- Identifying Persistent Negative Terms of Trade Shocks -- Current Account After Terms of Trade Changes.

We describe unique aspects of microstates-they are less diversified, suffer from lumpiness of investment, they are geographically at the periphery and prone to natural disasters, and have less access to capital markets-that may make the current account more vulnerable, penalizing exports and making imports dearer. After reviewing the "old" and "new" view on current account deficits, we attempt to identify policies to help reduce the current account. Probit regressions suggest that microstates are more likely to have large current account adjustments if (i) they are already running large current account deficits; (ii) they run budget surpluses; (iii) the terms of trade improve; (iv) they are less open; and (v) GDP growth declines. Monetary policy, financial development, per capita GDP, and the de jure exchange rate classification matter less. However, changes in the real effective exchange rate do not help drive reductions in the current account deficit in microstates. We explore reasons for this and provide policy implications.

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Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2018. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.

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