Regional Economic Outlook, October 2013 : Sub-Saharan Africa - Keeping the Pace.

By: African Dept., International Monetary FundMaterial type: TextTextSeries: Regional Economic OutlookPublisher: Washington : International Monetary Fund, 2013Copyright date: ©2013Description: 1 online resource (128 pages)Content type: text Media type: computer Carrier type: online resourceISBN: 9781484300480Subject(s): Africa, Sub-Saharan -- Economic conditions | Economic development -- AfricaGenre/Form: Electronic books.Additional physical formats: Print version:: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2013 : Sub-Saharan Africa - Keeping the PaceDDC classification: 332.1 | 332.153 LOC classification: HC800 -- .R44 2013ebOnline resources: Click to View
Contents:
Cover -- Contents -- Abbreviations -- Acknowledgments -- In Brief -- 1. Keeping the Pace -- International Context -- The Regional Outlook: Baseline Scenario -- Are Sub-Saharan African Current Account Deficits a Source of Concern? -- Scenario Analysis: Commodity Price Variations -- Risks, Policy Challenges, and Recommendations -- Concluding Remarks -- Annex -- 2. Drivers of Growth in Nonresource-Rich Sub-Saharan African Countries -- The Overall Growth Experience in the Sample Countries -- Evidence from Country Cases -- Concluding Remarks and Outlook -- Annex -- 3. Managing Volatile Capital Flows: Experiences and Lessons for Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets -- Short-Term Flows in Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets -- Policy Responses to Capital Flows in Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets -- Concluding Remarks -- Annex -- Statistical Appendix -- References -- Publications of the IMF African Department, 2009-13 -- Boxes -- 1.1. Africa's Rising Exposure to China: How Large Are Spillovers through Trade? -- 1.2. Government Debt: Old and New Risks -- 1.3. Sub-Saharan Africa's Progress in Achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) -- 1.4. Has Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa Been Inclusive? -- 2.1. Is It Real? Alternative Benchmarks Evaluating GDP Estimates -- 2.2. The Role of Total Factor Productivity in the Growth Acceleration of Nonresource-Rich Low-Income Countries -- 2.3. Investment in Mozambique -- 2.4. Examples of National Programs Aimed at Raising Yields -- 3.1. Drivers of Portfolio Flows to Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets -- 3.2. Capital Flows Management Measures in Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets -- 3.3. Examples of Macroprudential Policies -- 3.4. Nigeria-Capital Flows and Policy Response -- 3.5. Ghana's Recent Experience in Portfolio Flows -- 3.6. Zambia-Copper and Capital -- Tables.
1.1. Sub-Saharan Africa: Real GDP Growth -- 1.2. Sub-Saharan Africa: Debt Indicators -- 1.3. Sub-Saharan Africa: Other Macroeconomic Indicators -- 1.4. Sub-Saharan Africa: Bonds Issued, 2013 -- 1.5. Scenario Assumptions -- 1.6 Selected Regions -- Percentage of Countries Meeting Specific Benchmarks -- 1.7 IMF Statistics Department Technical Assistance Missions in Sub-Saharan Africa -- 2.1. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Real GDP and Real GDP per Capita Growth, Average 1995-2010 -- 2.2. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Sectoral Growth in Real GDP -- 2.3. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Annual Change in Relative Employment Shares through 2010 -- 2.4. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Economic Indicators -- 2.5. Sub-Saharan Africa: Cost of Doing Business Indicators -- 2.6. Burkina Faso: Cotton Reforms, 1992-2008 -- 2.7. Determinants of Real per Capita Output Growth -- 3.1. Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets: Average Private Flows -- 3.2. Cross-Border Bank-Related Flows to Sub-Saharan African Countries -- 3.3. Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets: Real Exchange and International Reserves Performance -- 3.4. Determinants of Gross Portfolio Investment Flows -- 3.5 Determinants of Equity and Bond Flows in Sub-Saharan Africa -- Figures -- 1.1. World Economic Forecast Revisions -- 1.2. International Commodity Prices -- 1.3. Sub-Saharan Africa: Growth Forecast Revisions Relative to April 2013 -- 1.4. Sub-Saharan Africa: Real GDP Growth and Percentile in the World Distribution of Growth -- 1.5. Sub-Saharan Africa: Food and Nonfood Inflation -- 1.6. Sub-Saharan Africa: Bond Flows to Emerging Market and Frontier Economies -- 1.7. Sub-Saharan Africa: Equity Flows to Emerging Market and Frontier Economies -- 1.8. Sub-Saharan Africa: Real Exchange Rate Developments by Traditional Country Groups, 2001-13 (June).
1.9. Sub-Saharan Africa: Distribution of External Current Account Balance-to-GDP Ratio (Center Quintiles), 2000-13 -- 1.10. Sub-Saharan Africa: Ratio of External Current Account Balance to GDP, 2000-13 -- 1.11. Sub-Saharan Africa: Current Account Developments, by Country Groupings: 2001-13 -- 1.12. Sub-Saharan Africa: Balance of Payments, 2009-12 Average -- 1.13. Sub-Saharan Africa: Current Account Financing 2009-12 Average -- 1.14. Sub-Saharan Africa: External Current Account Balance-to-GDP Ratio, 2012-18 -- 1.15. Sub-Saharan Africa: Distribution of External Debt-to-GDP Ratio (Center Quintiles) 2000-13 -- 1.16. Sub-Saharan Africa: External Debt-to-GDP Ratio, 2000-13 -- 1.17. Sub-Saharan Africa: Commodity Price Scenarios -- 1.18 Statistical Capacity Indicator -- 2.1. Selected Regions: Real GDP Index -- 2.2. Sub-Saharan Africa: Real GDP Index -- 2.3. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Real GDP Index -- 2.4. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Contributions of Sectors to Real GDP Growth, Average 1995-2010 -- 2.5. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: The Virtuous Circle, Average 1995-2010 -- 2.6. Sub-Saharan Africa: Worldwide Governance Indicators -- 2.7. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Expenditure on Education -- 2.8. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Credit to the Private Sector -- 2.9. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Adults with an Account at a Formal Financial Institution, 2011 -- 2.10. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Donor Financing, Average 1995-2010 -- 2.11. Sub-Saharan Africa: Misalignment with Equilibrium Exchange Rate -- 2.12. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Saving and Investment, 1995-2010 -- 2.13. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Public Capital Expenditure, 1995-2010 -- 2.14. Uganda: Private Investment, 1996-2010 -- 2.15. Sub-Saharan African Sample Countries: Infrastructure Indicators.
2.16. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Share of Agriculture in GDP -- 2.17. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Contributions of Sectors to Services Growth, Average 2000-11 -- 2.18. Selected Countries: Contributions to Real GDP per Capita Growth, 2000-11 -- 3.1. Selected Regions: Capital Inflows: 2000-12 -- 3.2. Selected Regions: Private Investment -- 3.3. Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets: External Loans from and Deposits at BIS-Reporting Banks -- 3.4. Sub-Saharan Africa: Trends and Fluctuations in Equity and Bond Flows -- 3.5. Sub-Saharan Africa: Frontier Markets: Exchange Rate Depreciation, 2013 -- 3.6. Sub-Saharan Africa: Exchange Rate Volatility, 2013 -- 3.7. Sub-Saharan Africa: Government Bond Yield to Maturity Spreads to 10-year U.S. Bonds, 2013 -- 3.8. Sub-Saharan Africa Frontier Markets: Twin Deficits -- 3.9. Sub-Saharan Africa Frontier Markets: Portfolio Flows -- 3.10. Sub-Saharan Africa Frontier Markets: Net Portfolio Flows and Gross International Reserves.
Summary: The October 2013 Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa provides a comprehensive report on the prospects for growth in the region, as well as the major risks to the outlook. Generally, growth is expected to remain strong despite a downward revision since the May 2013 report. The report analyzes drivers of growth in nonresource-rich sub-Saharan African countries, and examines the risks to frontier market economies of volatile capital flows as they become more integrated with international capital markets.
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Cover -- Contents -- Abbreviations -- Acknowledgments -- In Brief -- 1. Keeping the Pace -- International Context -- The Regional Outlook: Baseline Scenario -- Are Sub-Saharan African Current Account Deficits a Source of Concern? -- Scenario Analysis: Commodity Price Variations -- Risks, Policy Challenges, and Recommendations -- Concluding Remarks -- Annex -- 2. Drivers of Growth in Nonresource-Rich Sub-Saharan African Countries -- The Overall Growth Experience in the Sample Countries -- Evidence from Country Cases -- Concluding Remarks and Outlook -- Annex -- 3. Managing Volatile Capital Flows: Experiences and Lessons for Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets -- Short-Term Flows in Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets -- Policy Responses to Capital Flows in Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets -- Concluding Remarks -- Annex -- Statistical Appendix -- References -- Publications of the IMF African Department, 2009-13 -- Boxes -- 1.1. Africa's Rising Exposure to China: How Large Are Spillovers through Trade? -- 1.2. Government Debt: Old and New Risks -- 1.3. Sub-Saharan Africa's Progress in Achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) -- 1.4. Has Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa Been Inclusive? -- 2.1. Is It Real? Alternative Benchmarks Evaluating GDP Estimates -- 2.2. The Role of Total Factor Productivity in the Growth Acceleration of Nonresource-Rich Low-Income Countries -- 2.3. Investment in Mozambique -- 2.4. Examples of National Programs Aimed at Raising Yields -- 3.1. Drivers of Portfolio Flows to Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets -- 3.2. Capital Flows Management Measures in Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets -- 3.3. Examples of Macroprudential Policies -- 3.4. Nigeria-Capital Flows and Policy Response -- 3.5. Ghana's Recent Experience in Portfolio Flows -- 3.6. Zambia-Copper and Capital -- Tables.

1.1. Sub-Saharan Africa: Real GDP Growth -- 1.2. Sub-Saharan Africa: Debt Indicators -- 1.3. Sub-Saharan Africa: Other Macroeconomic Indicators -- 1.4. Sub-Saharan Africa: Bonds Issued, 2013 -- 1.5. Scenario Assumptions -- 1.6 Selected Regions -- Percentage of Countries Meeting Specific Benchmarks -- 1.7 IMF Statistics Department Technical Assistance Missions in Sub-Saharan Africa -- 2.1. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Real GDP and Real GDP per Capita Growth, Average 1995-2010 -- 2.2. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Sectoral Growth in Real GDP -- 2.3. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Annual Change in Relative Employment Shares through 2010 -- 2.4. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Economic Indicators -- 2.5. Sub-Saharan Africa: Cost of Doing Business Indicators -- 2.6. Burkina Faso: Cotton Reforms, 1992-2008 -- 2.7. Determinants of Real per Capita Output Growth -- 3.1. Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets: Average Private Flows -- 3.2. Cross-Border Bank-Related Flows to Sub-Saharan African Countries -- 3.3. Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets: Real Exchange and International Reserves Performance -- 3.4. Determinants of Gross Portfolio Investment Flows -- 3.5 Determinants of Equity and Bond Flows in Sub-Saharan Africa -- Figures -- 1.1. World Economic Forecast Revisions -- 1.2. International Commodity Prices -- 1.3. Sub-Saharan Africa: Growth Forecast Revisions Relative to April 2013 -- 1.4. Sub-Saharan Africa: Real GDP Growth and Percentile in the World Distribution of Growth -- 1.5. Sub-Saharan Africa: Food and Nonfood Inflation -- 1.6. Sub-Saharan Africa: Bond Flows to Emerging Market and Frontier Economies -- 1.7. Sub-Saharan Africa: Equity Flows to Emerging Market and Frontier Economies -- 1.8. Sub-Saharan Africa: Real Exchange Rate Developments by Traditional Country Groups, 2001-13 (June).

1.9. Sub-Saharan Africa: Distribution of External Current Account Balance-to-GDP Ratio (Center Quintiles), 2000-13 -- 1.10. Sub-Saharan Africa: Ratio of External Current Account Balance to GDP, 2000-13 -- 1.11. Sub-Saharan Africa: Current Account Developments, by Country Groupings: 2001-13 -- 1.12. Sub-Saharan Africa: Balance of Payments, 2009-12 Average -- 1.13. Sub-Saharan Africa: Current Account Financing 2009-12 Average -- 1.14. Sub-Saharan Africa: External Current Account Balance-to-GDP Ratio, 2012-18 -- 1.15. Sub-Saharan Africa: Distribution of External Debt-to-GDP Ratio (Center Quintiles) 2000-13 -- 1.16. Sub-Saharan Africa: External Debt-to-GDP Ratio, 2000-13 -- 1.17. Sub-Saharan Africa: Commodity Price Scenarios -- 1.18 Statistical Capacity Indicator -- 2.1. Selected Regions: Real GDP Index -- 2.2. Sub-Saharan Africa: Real GDP Index -- 2.3. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Real GDP Index -- 2.4. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Contributions of Sectors to Real GDP Growth, Average 1995-2010 -- 2.5. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: The Virtuous Circle, Average 1995-2010 -- 2.6. Sub-Saharan Africa: Worldwide Governance Indicators -- 2.7. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Expenditure on Education -- 2.8. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Credit to the Private Sector -- 2.9. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Adults with an Account at a Formal Financial Institution, 2011 -- 2.10. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Donor Financing, Average 1995-2010 -- 2.11. Sub-Saharan Africa: Misalignment with Equilibrium Exchange Rate -- 2.12. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Saving and Investment, 1995-2010 -- 2.13. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Public Capital Expenditure, 1995-2010 -- 2.14. Uganda: Private Investment, 1996-2010 -- 2.15. Sub-Saharan African Sample Countries: Infrastructure Indicators.

2.16. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Share of Agriculture in GDP -- 2.17. Sub-Saharan Africa Sample Countries: Contributions of Sectors to Services Growth, Average 2000-11 -- 2.18. Selected Countries: Contributions to Real GDP per Capita Growth, 2000-11 -- 3.1. Selected Regions: Capital Inflows: 2000-12 -- 3.2. Selected Regions: Private Investment -- 3.3. Sub-Saharan African Frontier Markets: External Loans from and Deposits at BIS-Reporting Banks -- 3.4. Sub-Saharan Africa: Trends and Fluctuations in Equity and Bond Flows -- 3.5. Sub-Saharan Africa: Frontier Markets: Exchange Rate Depreciation, 2013 -- 3.6. Sub-Saharan Africa: Exchange Rate Volatility, 2013 -- 3.7. Sub-Saharan Africa: Government Bond Yield to Maturity Spreads to 10-year U.S. Bonds, 2013 -- 3.8. Sub-Saharan Africa Frontier Markets: Twin Deficits -- 3.9. Sub-Saharan Africa Frontier Markets: Portfolio Flows -- 3.10. Sub-Saharan Africa Frontier Markets: Net Portfolio Flows and Gross International Reserves.

The October 2013 Regional Economic Outlook: Sub-Saharan Africa provides a comprehensive report on the prospects for growth in the region, as well as the major risks to the outlook. Generally, growth is expected to remain strong despite a downward revision since the May 2013 report. The report analyzes drivers of growth in nonresource-rich sub-Saharan African countries, and examines the risks to frontier market economies of volatile capital flows as they become more integrated with international capital markets.

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Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, 2018. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries.

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