Simulating the Impact of the 2009 Financial Crisis on Welfare in Latvia (Record no. 24457)

000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02915cam a22003974a 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 5960
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field The World Bank
006 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--ADDITIONAL MATERIAL CHARACTERISTICS--GENERAL INFORMATION
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007 - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION FIXED FIELD--GENERAL INFORMATION
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008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 020129s2012 dcu i001 0 eng
024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code 10.1596/1813-9450-5960
035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number (The World Bank)5960
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Ajwad, Mohamed Ihsan
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Simulating the Impact of the 2009 Financial Crisis on Welfare in Latvia
Medium [electronic resource] /
Statement of responsibility, etc Mohamed Ihsan Ajwad
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc Washington, D.C.,
Name of publisher, distributor, etc The World Bank,
Date of publication, distribution, etc 2012
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 1 online resource (22 p.)
520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc This note details simulations of the distributional impacts of the 2009 financial crisis on households in Latvia. It uses household survey data collected prior to the crisis and simulates the impact of the growth slowdown. The simulations show that Latvia experienced a sharp rise in poverty, widening of the poverty gap, and a rise in income inequality due to the economic contraction in 2009. The 18 percent contraction in gross domestic product (affecting mainly trade hotels and restaurants, construction, and manufacturing) likely led the poverty head count to increase from 14.4 percent in 2008 to 20.2 percent in 2009. The poverty gap, which measures the national poverty deficit, was simulated to increase from 5.9 percent in 2008 to 8.3 percent in 2009. The analysis finds that the results are robust to most assumptions except post-layoff incomes, which substantially mitigated household welfare. The authors also simulate the impact of Latvia's Emergency Social Safety Net components and find that the Safety Net likely mitigated crisis impacts for many beneficiaries. The simulations measure only direct short-run impacts; hence, they do not take into account general equilibrium effects. Post-crisis income data from a different data source suggest that poverty rates increased by 8.0 percentage points between 2008 and 2009. As a result, the authors suggest that their ex-ante simulation performs reasonably well and is a useful tool to identify vulnerable groups during the early stages of a crisis.
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Achieving Shared Growth
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Crisis
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Finance and Financial Sector Development
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Labor Markets
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Labor Policies
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Poverty
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Regional Economic Development
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Rural Poverty Reduction
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Simulation
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Social Development
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Social protection policies
651 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--GEOGRAPHIC NAME
Geographic name Latvia
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Ajwad, Mohamed Ihsan
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Azam, Mehtabul
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Haimovich, Francisco
776 18 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY
Main entry heading Print version:
Display text Ajwad, Mohamed Ihsan.
Title Simulating the Impact of the 2009 Financial Crisis on Welfare in Latvia.
Place, publisher, and date of publication Washington, D.C. : The World Bank, 2012
830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE
Uniform title Policy research working papers.
830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE
Uniform title World Bank e-Library.
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-5960">http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-5960</a>

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