Shock Persistence and the Choice of Foreign Exchange Regime (Record no. 20913)
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000 -LEADER | |
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fixed length control field | 04229cam a22006014a 4500 |
001 - CONTROL NUMBER | |
control field | 2371 |
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER | |
control field | The World Bank |
006 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--ADDITIONAL MATERIAL CHARACTERISTICS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
fixed length control field | m d |
007 - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION FIXED FIELD--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
fixed length control field | cr cn||||||||| |
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
fixed length control field | 020129s1999 dcu i001 0 eng |
024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER | |
Standard number or code | 10.1596/1813-9450-2371 |
035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER | |
System control number | (The World Bank)2371 |
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | Giugale, Marcelo |
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
Title | Shock Persistence and the Choice of Foreign Exchange Regime |
Medium | [electronic resource] : |
Remainder of title | An Empirical Note from Mexico / |
Statement of responsibility, etc | Giugale, Marcelo |
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT) | |
Place of publication, distribution, etc | Washington, D.C., |
Name of publisher, distributor, etc | The World Bank, |
Date of publication, distribution, etc | 1999 |
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
Extent | 1 online resource (20 p.) |
520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
Summary, etc | July 2000 - Empirical econometric evidence shows that Mexico's simulated output recovery after a negative external shock was faster (a third as long) when the country's policymakers let the nominal foreign exchange rate float than when they fixed it, and much faster than in other developing countries that kept nominal foreign exchange rates constant, especially those that resorted to currency board arrangements to support that constancy. The academic and policy debate about optimal foreign exchange rate regimes for emerging economies has focused more on the theoretical costs and benefits of possible regimes than on their actual performance. Giugale and Korobow report on what can be called exchange-rate-regime-dependent differential shock persistence-that is, the time output takes to return to its trend after a negative shock-in a sample of countries representing various points on the spectrum of nominal foreign exchange flexibility. They find strong evidence that Mexico's simulated output recovery after a negative external shock was faster (a third as long) when the country's policymakers let the nominal foreign exchange rate float than when they fixed it, and much faster than in other developing countries that kept nominal foreign exchange rates constant, especially those that resorted to currency board arrangements to support that constancy. These results are insufficient to guide the choice of regime (they lack general equilibrium value and are based on a limited sample of countries), but they highlight an important practical consideration in making that choice: How long it takes for output to adjust after negative shocks is sensitive to the level of rigidity of the foreign exchange regime. This factor may be critical when the social costs of those adjustments are not negligible. This paper-a product of the Mexico Country Department, Latin America and the Caribbean Region-is part of a larger effort in the region to understand policy options open to developing countries for handling macroeconomic volatility in a globalized economy. The authors may be contacted at mgiugale@worldbank.org or akorobow@worldbank.org. |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Currencies and Exchange Rates |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Currency |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Currency Board |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Currency Board Arrangements |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Currency Boards |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Debt Markets |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Domestic Economy |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Econometric Evidence |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Economic Stabilization |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Economic Theory and Research |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Economies |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Emerging Markets |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Exchange Rate Flo Exchange Rate Regime |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Exchange Regime |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | External Shock |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Finance and Financial Sector Development |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Financial Crises |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Fiscal and Monetary Policy |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Foreign Exchange |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Foreign Exchange Rate |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Foreign Exchange Rates |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Inflation |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | International Financial Integration |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Macroeconomic Management |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Macroeconomics and Economic Growth |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Monetary Unions |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Open Capital Accounts |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Private Sector Development |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Public Sector Development |
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Structural Reform |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | Giugale, Marcelo |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | Korobow, Adam |
776 18 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY | |
Main entry heading | Print version: |
Display text | Giugale, Marcelo. |
Title | Shock Persistence and the Choice of Foreign Exchange Regime. |
Place, publisher, and date of publication | Washington, D.C., The World Bank, 1999 |
830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE | |
Uniform title | Policy research working papers. |
830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE | |
Uniform title | World Bank e-Library. |
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
Uniform Resource Identifier | <a href="http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-2371">http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-2371</a> |
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