Shock Persistence and the Choice of Foreign Exchange Regime (Record no. 20913)

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fixed length control field 04229cam a22006014a 4500
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control field 2371
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field The World Bank
006 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--ADDITIONAL MATERIAL CHARACTERISTICS--GENERAL INFORMATION
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fixed length control field 020129s1999 dcu i001 0 eng
024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code 10.1596/1813-9450-2371
035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number (The World Bank)2371
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Giugale, Marcelo
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Shock Persistence and the Choice of Foreign Exchange Regime
Medium [electronic resource] :
Remainder of title An Empirical Note from Mexico /
Statement of responsibility, etc Giugale, Marcelo
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc Washington, D.C.,
Name of publisher, distributor, etc The World Bank,
Date of publication, distribution, etc 1999
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 1 online resource (20 p.)
520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc July 2000 - Empirical econometric evidence shows that Mexico's simulated output recovery after a negative external shock was faster (a third as long) when the country's policymakers let the nominal foreign exchange rate float than when they fixed it, and much faster than in other developing countries that kept nominal foreign exchange rates constant, especially those that resorted to currency board arrangements to support that constancy. The academic and policy debate about optimal foreign exchange rate regimes for emerging economies has focused more on the theoretical costs and benefits of possible regimes than on their actual performance. Giugale and Korobow report on what can be called exchange-rate-regime-dependent differential shock persistence-that is, the time output takes to return to its trend after a negative shock-in a sample of countries representing various points on the spectrum of nominal foreign exchange flexibility. They find strong evidence that Mexico's simulated output recovery after a negative external shock was faster (a third as long) when the country's policymakers let the nominal foreign exchange rate float than when they fixed it, and much faster than in other developing countries that kept nominal foreign exchange rates constant, especially those that resorted to currency board arrangements to support that constancy. These results are insufficient to guide the choice of regime (they lack general equilibrium value and are based on a limited sample of countries), but they highlight an important practical consideration in making that choice: How long it takes for output to adjust after negative shocks is sensitive to the level of rigidity of the foreign exchange regime. This factor may be critical when the social costs of those adjustments are not negligible. This paper-a product of the Mexico Country Department, Latin America and the Caribbean Region-is part of a larger effort in the region to understand policy options open to developing countries for handling macroeconomic volatility in a globalized economy. The authors may be contacted at mgiugale@worldbank.org or akorobow@worldbank.org.
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Currencies and Exchange Rates
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Currency
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Currency Board
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Currency Board Arrangements
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Currency Boards
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Debt Markets
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Domestic Economy
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Econometric Evidence
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Economic Stabilization
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Economic Theory and Research
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Economies
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Emerging Markets
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Exchange Rate Flo Exchange Rate Regime
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Exchange Regime
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element External Shock
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Finance and Financial Sector Development
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Financial Crises
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Fiscal and Monetary Policy
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Foreign Exchange
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Foreign Exchange Rate
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Foreign Exchange Rates
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Inflation
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element International Financial Integration
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Macroeconomic Management
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Monetary Unions
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Open Capital Accounts
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Private Sector Development
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Public Sector Development
650 #4 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Structural Reform
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Giugale, Marcelo
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Korobow, Adam
776 18 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY
Main entry heading Print version:
Display text Giugale, Marcelo.
Title Shock Persistence and the Choice of Foreign Exchange Regime.
Place, publisher, and date of publication Washington, D.C., The World Bank, 1999
830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE
Uniform title Policy research working papers.
830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE
Uniform title World Bank e-Library.
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-2371">http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-2371</a>

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