The Trade Response To Global Downturns (Record no. 140774)

000 -LEADER
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001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 5015
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field The World Bank
006 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--ADDITIONAL MATERIAL CHARACTERISTICS--GENERAL INFORMATION
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007 - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION FIXED FIELD--GENERAL INFORMATION
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008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 020129s2009 dcu i001 0 eng
024 8# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER
Standard number or code 10.1596/1813-9450-5015
035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number (The World Bank)5015
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Freund, Caroline
245 14 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title The Trade Response To Global Downturns
Medium [electronic resource] :
Remainder of title Historical Evidence /
Statement of responsibility, etc Freund, Caroline
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc Washington, D.C.,
Name of publisher, distributor, etc The World Bank,
Date of publication, distribution, etc 2009
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 1 online resource (30 p.)
520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc The author examines the impact of historical global downturns on trade flows. The results provide insight into why trade has dropped so dramatically in the current crisis, what is likely to happen in the coming years, how global imbalances are affected, and which regions and industries suffer most heavily. The author finds that the elasticity of global trade volumes to real world GDP has increased gradually from around 2 in the 1960s to above 3 now. The author also finds that trade is more responsive to GDP during global downturns than in tranquil times. The results suggest that the overall drop in real trade this year is likely to exceed 15 percent. There is significant variation across industries, with food and beverages the least affected and crude materials and fuels the most affected. On the positive side, trade tends to rebound very rapidly when the outlook brightens. The author also finds evidence that global downturns often lead to persistent improvements in the ratio of the trade balance to GDP in borrower countries.
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Currencies and Exchange Rates
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Debt
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Economic Theory and Research
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Elasticity
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Emerging Markets
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Exports
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Finance and Financial Sector Development
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Financial crises
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Financial crisis
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Forecasts
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Free Trade
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element GDP
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Gross value
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element International Economics & Trade
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element International trade
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Inventories
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Law and Development
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Middle income countries
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Real GDP
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Real income
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Tax revenues
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Trade balance
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Trade Law
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Topical term or geographic name as entry element Trade Policy
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700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Freund, Caroline
776 18 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY
Main entry heading Print version:
Display text Freund, Caroline.
Title The Trade Response To Global Downturns.
Place, publisher, and date of publication Washington, D.C., The World Bank, 2009
830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE
Uniform title Policy research working papers.
830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE
Uniform title World Bank e-Library.
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-5015">http://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/book/10.1596/1813-9450-5015</a>

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