Jensen, Jesper
Regional trade policy options for Tanzania the importance of services commitments / Jesper Jensen [electronic resource] : Jesper Jensen - Washington, D.C., The World Bank, 2010 - 1 online resource (121 p.) - Policy research working papers. World Bank e-Library. .
Despite the growing importance of commitments to foreign investors in services in regional trade agreements, there are no applied general equilibrium models in the literature that assess these regional impacts. This paper develops a 52 sector applied general equilibrium model of Tanzania with foreign direct investment, and uses that model to assess Tanzania's regional and multilateral trade options. The model incorporates the features of the modern theory of international trade that has shown empirically that trade and foreign direct investment can increase productivity, and trade and foreign direct investment with technologically advanced countries is especially valuable for that purpose. To assess the sensitivity of the results to parameter values, the model is executed 30,000 times, and the results are reported as confidence intervals of the sample distributions. The analysis finds that a 50 percent preferential reduction in the ad valorem equivalents of barriers in all business services by Tanzania with respect to its African regional partners would be slightly beneficial for Tanzania. But wider liberalization, with larger partners or multilaterally, it will yield much larger gains due to providing access to a much wider set of service providers. Finally, the results show that the largest gains in services would be derived from reduction of regulatory barriers that are geographically non-discriminatory.
10.1596/1813-9450-5481
Advanced Countries
Banks & Banking Reform
Barrier
Economic Theory & Research
Emerging Markets
Environment
Environmental Economics & Policies
Equilibrium Models
Finance and Financial Sector Development
Foreign Investors
International Trade
Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
Multilateral Trade
Private Sector Development
Productivity
Regional Trade
Regulatory Regime
Transport
Transport Economics Policy & Planning
Welfare Gains
Regional trade policy options for Tanzania the importance of services commitments / Jesper Jensen [electronic resource] : Jesper Jensen - Washington, D.C., The World Bank, 2010 - 1 online resource (121 p.) - Policy research working papers. World Bank e-Library. .
Despite the growing importance of commitments to foreign investors in services in regional trade agreements, there are no applied general equilibrium models in the literature that assess these regional impacts. This paper develops a 52 sector applied general equilibrium model of Tanzania with foreign direct investment, and uses that model to assess Tanzania's regional and multilateral trade options. The model incorporates the features of the modern theory of international trade that has shown empirically that trade and foreign direct investment can increase productivity, and trade and foreign direct investment with technologically advanced countries is especially valuable for that purpose. To assess the sensitivity of the results to parameter values, the model is executed 30,000 times, and the results are reported as confidence intervals of the sample distributions. The analysis finds that a 50 percent preferential reduction in the ad valorem equivalents of barriers in all business services by Tanzania with respect to its African regional partners would be slightly beneficial for Tanzania. But wider liberalization, with larger partners or multilaterally, it will yield much larger gains due to providing access to a much wider set of service providers. Finally, the results show that the largest gains in services would be derived from reduction of regulatory barriers that are geographically non-discriminatory.
10.1596/1813-9450-5481
Advanced Countries
Banks & Banking Reform
Barrier
Economic Theory & Research
Emerging Markets
Environment
Environmental Economics & Policies
Equilibrium Models
Finance and Financial Sector Development
Foreign Investors
International Trade
Macroeconomics and Economic Growth
Multilateral Trade
Private Sector Development
Productivity
Regional Trade
Regulatory Regime
Transport
Transport Economics Policy & Planning
Welfare Gains