Cevik, Serhan.
Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions / Serhan Cevik. [electronic resource] : Serhan Cevik. - Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013. - 1 online resource (49 p.) - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 13/2 . - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 13/2 .
This paper provides a broad empirical analysis of the determinants of post-conflict economic transitions across the world during the period 1960-2010, using a dynamic panel estimation approach based on the system-generalized method of moments. In addition to an array of demographic, economic, geographic, and institutional variables, we introduce an estimated risk of conflict recurrence as an explanatory variable in the growth regression, because post-conflict countries have a tendency to relapse into subsequent conflicts even years after the cessation of violence. The empirical results show that domestic factors, including the estimated probability of conflict recurrence, as well as a range of external variables, contribute to post-conflict economic performance.
147553115X : 18.00 USD
1018-5941
10.5089/9781475531152.001 doi
Civil Conflict
Conflict Recurrence Risk
Criteria for Decision-Making Under Risk and Uncertainty
Dynamic Panel Estimation
GDP per Capita
General
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Congo, Democratic Republic of the
Liberia
Breaking the Curse of Sisyphus An Empirical Analysis of Post-Conflict Economic Transitions / Serhan Cevik. [electronic resource] : Serhan Cevik. - Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013. - 1 online resource (49 p.) - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 13/2 . - IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 13/2 .
This paper provides a broad empirical analysis of the determinants of post-conflict economic transitions across the world during the period 1960-2010, using a dynamic panel estimation approach based on the system-generalized method of moments. In addition to an array of demographic, economic, geographic, and institutional variables, we introduce an estimated risk of conflict recurrence as an explanatory variable in the growth regression, because post-conflict countries have a tendency to relapse into subsequent conflicts even years after the cessation of violence. The empirical results show that domestic factors, including the estimated probability of conflict recurrence, as well as a range of external variables, contribute to post-conflict economic performance.
147553115X : 18.00 USD
1018-5941
10.5089/9781475531152.001 doi
Civil Conflict
Conflict Recurrence Risk
Criteria for Decision-Making Under Risk and Uncertainty
Dynamic Panel Estimation
GDP per Capita
General
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Congo, Democratic Republic of the
Liberia